JE Cleantech Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| JCSE Stock | USD 1.30 0.12 8.45% |
JCSE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JE Cleantech stock prices and determine the direction of JE Cleantech Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of JE Cleantech's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of JE Cleantech's share price is at 54. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JE Cleantech, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.143 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) |
Using JE Cleantech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JE Cleantech Holdings from the perspective of JE Cleantech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JE Cleantech Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.86. JE Cleantech after-hype prediction price | USD 1.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JE Cleantech to cross-verify your projections. JE Cleantech Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JCSE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JCSE using various technical indicators. When you analyze JCSE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JE Cleantech Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JE Cleantech Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JCSE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JE Cleantech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JE Cleantech Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JE Cleantech | JE Cleantech Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
JE Cleantech Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JE Cleantech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JE Cleantech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 14.51, respectively. We have considered JE Cleantech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JE Cleantech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JE Cleantech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0173 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0654 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.054 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.86 |
Predictive Modules for JE Cleantech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JE Cleantech Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JE Cleantech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JE Cleantech After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JE Cleantech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JE Cleantech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JE Cleantech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JE Cleantech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JE Cleantech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JE Cleantech's historical news coverage. JE Cleantech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 14.55, respectively. We have considered JE Cleantech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JE Cleantech is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JE Cleantech Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
JE Cleantech Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JE Cleantech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JE Cleantech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JE Cleantech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.26 | 13.22 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.30 | 1.33 | 2.31 |
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JE Cleantech Hype Timeline
JE Cleantech Holdings is currently traded for 1.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. JCSE is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 2.31%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.26%. The volatility of related hype on JE Cleantech is about 10256.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.14. JE Cleantech Holdings currently holds 10.07 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.88, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JE Cleantech to cross-verify your projections.JE Cleantech Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JE Cleantech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JE Cleantech's future price movements. Getting to know how JE Cleantech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JE Cleantech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GXRFF | Prospera Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.70 | (9.67) | 38.06 | |
| FHTX | Foghorn Therapeutics | (0.04) | 9 per month | 4.28 | 0.11 | 9.16 | (5.56) | 31.12 | |
| PYXS | Pyxis Oncology | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 17.05 | (15.41) | 70.66 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 0.42 | 7 per month | 1.13 | 0.19 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| USSTX | Tax Exempt Short Term | 2.28 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.19 | (0.10) | 0.39 | |
| JDDSF | JD Sports Fashion | (2.61) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.00 | (0.87) | 22.36 | |
| NEMTF | Nemetschek SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.70 | |
| AA | Alcoa Corp | 1.42 | 8 per month | 2.69 | 0.16 | 6.40 | (5.54) | 14.55 | |
| JDSPY | JD Sports Fashion | (2.61) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.19 | (6.25) | 15.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for JE Cleantech
For every potential investor in JCSE, whether a beginner or expert, JE Cleantech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JCSE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JCSE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JE Cleantech's price trends.JE Cleantech Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JE Cleantech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JE Cleantech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JE Cleantech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JE Cleantech Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JE Cleantech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JE Cleantech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JE Cleantech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JE Cleantech Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JE Cleantech Risk Indicators
The analysis of JE Cleantech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JE Cleantech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jcse stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.05 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.87 | |||
| Variance | 165.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 49.81 | |||
| Semi Variance | 33.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (10.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JE Cleantech
The number of cover stories for JE Cleantech depends on current market conditions and JE Cleantech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JE Cleantech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JE Cleantech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JE Cleantech Short Properties
JE Cleantech's future price predictability will typically decrease when JE Cleantech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JE Cleantech Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JE Cleantech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JE Cleantech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JE Cleantech to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could JCSE diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JE Cleantech. Expected growth trajectory for JCSE significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every JE Cleantech data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.143 | Dividend Share 0.001 | Earnings Share (0.22) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) |
Investors evaluate JE Cleantech Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating JE Cleantech's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause JE Cleantech's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that JE Cleantech's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether JE Cleantech represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, JE Cleantech's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.