JD Health Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

JDHIF Stock  USD 7.58  0.00  0.00%   
JDHIF Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JD Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of JD Health's share price is below 30 as of 31st of January 2026. This indicates that the pink sheet is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling JD Health International, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 29

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of JD Health's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of JD Health and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from JD Health's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with JD Health International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using JD Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JD Health International from the perspective of JD Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JD Health International on the next trading day is expected to be 7.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.19.

JD Health after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JD Health to cross-verify your projections.

JD Health Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine JDHIF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JDHIF using various technical indicators. When you analyze JDHIF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
JD Health simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for JD Health International are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as JD Health International prices get older.

JD Health Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of JD Health International on the next trading day is expected to be 7.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JDHIF Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JD Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

JD Health Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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JD Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting JD Health's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JD Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.94 and 10.22, respectively. We have considered JD Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.58
7.58
Expected Value
10.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JD Health pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JD Health pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.304
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0195
MADMean absolute deviation0.0365
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0051
SAESum of the absolute errors2.19
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting JD Health International forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent JD Health observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for JD Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JD Health International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.947.5810.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.876.519.15
Details

JD Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of JD Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JD Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of JD Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

JD Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting JD Health's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JD Health's historical news coverage. JD Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.94 and 10.22, respectively. We have considered JD Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.58
7.58
After-hype Price
10.22
Upside
JD Health is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JD Health International is based on 3 months time horizon.

JD Health Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JD Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JD Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JD Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.64
  0.35 
  0.07 
6 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.58
7.58
0.00 
151.72  
Notes

JD Health Hype Timeline

JD Health International is currently traded for 7.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.35, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. JDHIF is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 151.72%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on JD Health is about 758.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.51. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of JD Health was currently reported as 13.33. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.05. JD Health International had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JD Health to cross-verify your projections.

JD Health Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to JD Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JD Health's future price movements. Getting to know how JD Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JD Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FSNUFFresenius SE Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  0.00  0.00  14.97 
KONEFKetamineOne Capital Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
OTSKYOtsuka Holdings Co 0.00 0 per month 1.40  0.06  3.41 (2.61) 8.24 
BAYRYBayer AG PK 0.00 0 per month 1.31  0.25  6.41 (2.90) 15.49 
RYLPFKoninklijke Philips NV 0.00 0 per month 1.13  0.0003  2.97 (2.99) 9.53 
TRUMYTerumo Corp ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.24) 1.65 (3.25) 9.19 
SDZNYSandoz Group AG 0.00 0 per month 1.18  0.21  3.14 (1.93) 9.00 
FMCQFFresenius Medical Care 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.48 (2.85) 17.04 
SDMHFSartorius Stedim Biotech(1.74)6 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.66 (5.05) 12.88 
TRUMFTerumo(1.74)3 per month 0.00 (0.03) 13.37 (12.22) 31.54 

Other Forecasting Options for JD Health

For every potential investor in JDHIF, whether a beginner or expert, JD Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JDHIF Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JDHIF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JD Health's price trends.

JD Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JD Health pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JD Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JD Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

JD Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JD Health pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JD Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JD Health pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify JD Health International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

JD Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of JD Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JD Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jdhif pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for JD Health

The number of cover stories for JD Health depends on current market conditions and JD Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JD Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JD Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in JDHIF Pink Sheet

JD Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether JDHIF Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JDHIF with respect to the benefits of owning JD Health security.