Jhn Hk Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

JELCX Fund  USD 10.21  0.05  0.49%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jhn Hk Cnsv on the next trading day is expected to be 10.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.59. Jhn Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Jhn Hk's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jhn Hk's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jhn Hk Cnsv, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Jhn Hk hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jhn Hk Cnsv from the perspective of Jhn Hk response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jhn Hk Cnsv on the next trading day is expected to be 10.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.59.

Jhn Hk after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jhn Hk to cross-verify your projections.

Jhn Hk Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jhn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jhn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jhn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Jhn Hk price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Jhn Hk Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Jhn Hk Cnsv on the next trading day is expected to be 10.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jhn Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jhn Hk's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jhn Hk Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jhn HkJhn Hk Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Jhn Hk Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jhn Hk's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jhn Hk's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.94 and 10.48, respectively. We have considered Jhn Hk's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.21
10.21
Expected Value
10.48
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jhn Hk mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jhn Hk mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.87
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.034
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0034
SAESum of the absolute errors2.0738
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Jhn Hk Cnsv historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Jhn Hk

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jhn Hk Cnsv. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jhn Hk's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9010.1610.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8910.1510.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jhn Hk

For every potential investor in Jhn, whether a beginner or expert, Jhn Hk's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jhn Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jhn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jhn Hk's price trends.

Jhn Hk Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jhn Hk mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jhn Hk could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jhn Hk by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jhn Hk Cnsv Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jhn Hk's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jhn Hk's current price.

Jhn Hk Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jhn Hk mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jhn Hk shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jhn Hk mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Jhn Hk Cnsv entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jhn Hk Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jhn Hk's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jhn Hk's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jhn mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Jhn Mutual Fund

Jhn Hk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jhn Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jhn with respect to the benefits of owning Jhn Hk security.
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