Jensen Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

JEN Stock  EUR 43.00  0.50  1.18%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jensen Group on the next trading day is expected to be 42.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.27. Jensen Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Jensen is based on an artificially constructed time series of Jensen daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Jensen 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Jensen Group on the next trading day is expected to be 42.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.74, mean absolute percentage error of 0.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jensen Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jensen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jensen Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jensen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jensen's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jensen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 40.63 and 44.30, respectively. We have considered Jensen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.00
42.46
Expected Value
44.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jensen stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jensen stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria103.3173
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1099
MADMean absolute deviation0.741
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors39.275
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Jensen Group 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Jensen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jensen Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.6542.5044.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
40.7542.6044.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jensen

For every potential investor in Jensen, whether a beginner or expert, Jensen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jensen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jensen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jensen's price trends.

Jensen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jensen stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jensen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jensen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jensen Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jensen's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jensen's current price.

Jensen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jensen stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jensen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jensen stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jensen Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jensen Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jensen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jensen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jensen stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Jensen

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Jensen position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Jensen will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Jensen Stock

  0.81ACKB Ackermans Van HaarenPairCorr
  0.69SOLB Solvay SAPairCorr
  0.6AGS ageas SANVPairCorr
  0.53ABI Anheuser Busch InbevPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Jensen could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Jensen when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Jensen - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Jensen Group to buy it.
The correlation of Jensen is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Jensen moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Jensen Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Jensen can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Jensen Stock Analysis

When running Jensen's price analysis, check to measure Jensen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jensen is operating at the current time. Most of Jensen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jensen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jensen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jensen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.