The Jensen Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average

JENIX Fund  USD 43.43  0.15  0.35%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Jensen Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 43.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.02. The Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of The Jensen's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of The Jensen's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Jensen Portfolio, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using The Jensen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Jensen Portfolio from the perspective of The Jensen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Jensen Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 43.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.02.

The Jensen after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of The Jensen to cross-verify your projections.

The Jensen Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine The price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for The using various technical indicators. When you analyze The charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for The Jensen is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

The Jensen Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Jensen Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 43.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.63, mean absolute percentage error of 5.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict The Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that The Jensen's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

The Jensen Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest The JensenThe Jensen Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

The Jensen Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting The Jensen's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. The Jensen's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.67 and 51.19, respectively. We have considered The Jensen's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
43.43
43.43
Expected Value
51.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of The Jensen mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent The Jensen mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0042
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.3982
MADMean absolute deviation0.6337
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0151
SAESum of the absolute errors38.025
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of The Jensen Portfolio price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of The Jensen. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for The Jensen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jensen Portfolio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.6743.4351.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.5338.2946.05
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
43.0443.7744.51
Details

The Jensen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of The Jensen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in The Jensen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of The Jensen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

The Jensen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting The Jensen's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on The Jensen's historical news coverage. The Jensen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.67 and 51.19, respectively. We have considered The Jensen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
43.43
43.43
After-hype Price
51.19
Upside
The Jensen is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jensen Portfolio is based on 3 months time horizon.

The Jensen Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as The Jensen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading The Jensen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with The Jensen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.96 
7.76
 0.00  
  1.27 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.43
43.43
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

The Jensen Hype Timeline

Jensen Portfolio is currently traded for 43.43. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.27. The is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.96%. %. The volatility of related hype on The Jensen is about 587.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of March 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of The Jensen to cross-verify your projections.

The Jensen Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to The Jensen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict The Jensen's future price movements. Getting to know how The Jensen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how The Jensen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JENYXThe Jensen Portfolio 0.28 2 per month 0.00  0.11  0.95 (1.01) 62.80 
JENSXThe Jensen Portfolio 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.98 (1.04) 62.39 
MPGFXMairs Power Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.81  0.03  1.17 (1.37) 6.00 
FAXTXAmerican Funds 2065 0.14 1 per month 0.68 (0.01) 1.03 (1.24) 3.03 
PWJZXPrudential Jennison International(14.17)3 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.35 (2.11) 4.23 
CMNWXPrincipal Capital Appreciation 0.54 1 per month 0.66  0.08  1.26 (1.39) 12.29 
AMAGXAmana Growth Fund 0.00 0 per month 1.05 (0.04) 1.36 (1.93) 4.37 
AMIGXAmana Growth Fund 0.00 0 per month 1.05 (0.04) 1.35 (1.94) 4.37 
TMCTXTouchstone Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.69  0.04  2.03 (1.51) 5.11 
PRIJXT Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 0.40  0.16  1.38 (0.97) 3.56 

Other Forecasting Options for The Jensen

For every potential investor in The, whether a beginner or expert, The Jensen's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. The Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in The. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying The Jensen's price trends.

The Jensen Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with The Jensen mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of The Jensen could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing The Jensen by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

The Jensen Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how The Jensen mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading The Jensen shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying The Jensen mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify The Jensen Portfolio entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

The Jensen Risk Indicators

The analysis of The Jensen's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in The Jensen's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting the mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for The Jensen

The number of cover stories for The Jensen depends on current market conditions and The Jensen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that The Jensen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about The Jensen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in The Mutual Fund

The Jensen financial ratios help investors to determine whether The Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in The with respect to the benefits of owning The Jensen security.
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