Adamas One Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

JEWL Stock   0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Adamas One Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Adamas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Adamas One's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Adamas One's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Adamas One fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Adamas One's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Adamas One's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Adamas One and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Adamas One's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Adamas One Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Adamas One's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.38)
Using Adamas One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Adamas One Corp from the perspective of Adamas One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Adamas One Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.

Adamas One after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.24E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Adamas One to cross-verify your projections.

Adamas One Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Adamas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Adamas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Adamas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Adamas One is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Adamas One Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Adamas One Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000263, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Adamas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Adamas One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Adamas One Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Adamas OneAdamas One Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Adamas One Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Adamas One's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Adamas One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 23.62, respectively. We have considered Adamas One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
23.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Adamas One stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Adamas One stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.5852
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation6.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error1.322
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0374
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Adamas One Corp price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Adamas One. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Adamas One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Adamas One Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Adamas One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000123.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00009623.62
Details

Adamas One After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Adamas One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Adamas One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Adamas One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Adamas One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Adamas One's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Adamas One's historical news coverage. Adamas One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 23.62, respectively. We have considered Adamas One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
23.62
Upside
Adamas One is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Adamas One Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Adamas One Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Adamas One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Adamas One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Adamas One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
23.62
 0.00  
 0.00  
4 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
23.91 
472,400  
Notes

Adamas One Hype Timeline

Adamas One Corp is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Adamas is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.24E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 23.91%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Adamas One is about 1.687142857E7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Adamas One Corp currently holds 6.77 M in liabilities. Note, when we think about Adamas One's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Adamas One to cross-verify your projections.

Adamas One Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Adamas One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Adamas One's future price movements. Getting to know how Adamas One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Adamas One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AVEWAvew Holdings 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VMHGVictory Marine Holdings(0)5 per month 8.03  0  12.50 (18.18) 92.86 
GAMNGreat American Food 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00 (3.85) 305.56 
BRAVBravada Intl 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SSGOFStop Sleep Go 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
LYJNLyric Jeans 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
KMFIThe Keller Manufacturing 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  100.00 
SPQSSportsquest 0.00 0 per month 16.32  0.18  100.00 (50.00) 233.33 
BRGOBergio Intl 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FVTIFortune Valley Treasures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  17,333 

Other Forecasting Options for Adamas One

For every potential investor in Adamas, whether a beginner or expert, Adamas One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Adamas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Adamas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Adamas One's price trends.

Adamas One Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Adamas One stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Adamas One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adamas One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Adamas One Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Adamas One stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Adamas One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Adamas One stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Adamas One Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Adamas One Risk Indicators

The analysis of Adamas One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adamas One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting adamas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Adamas One

The number of cover stories for Adamas One depends on current market conditions and Adamas One's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Adamas One is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Adamas One's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Adamas One Short Properties

Adamas One's future price predictability will typically decrease when Adamas One's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Adamas One Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Adamas One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adamas One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding23.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments26.1 K
When determining whether Adamas One Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Adamas One's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Adamas One's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Adamas Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Adamas One to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adamas One. If investors know Adamas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adamas One listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.48)
Revenue Per Share
0.01
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.38)
Return On Assets
(0.43)
Return On Equity
(13.20)
The market value of Adamas One Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adamas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adamas One's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adamas One's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adamas One's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adamas One's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adamas One's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adamas One is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adamas One's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.