JFT Strategies Fund Forward View - Simple Regression
| JFS-UN Fund | CAD 27.52 0.11 0.40% |
JFT Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JFT Strategies stock prices and determine the direction of JFT Strategies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of JFT Strategies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of JFT Strategies' share price is at 54. This indicates that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JFT Strategies, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JFT Strategies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JFT Strategies from the perspective of JFT Strategies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of JFT Strategies on the next trading day is expected to be 27.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.16. JFT Strategies after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JFT |
JFT Strategies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JFT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JFT using various technical indicators. When you analyze JFT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JFT Strategies Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of JFT Strategies on the next trading day is expected to be 27.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JFT Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JFT Strategies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JFT Strategies Fund Forecast Pattern
JFT Strategies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JFT Strategies' Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JFT Strategies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.77 and 28.63, respectively. We have considered JFT Strategies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JFT Strategies fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JFT Strategies fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.7865 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2485 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0094 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.1611 |
Predictive Modules for JFT Strategies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JFT Strategies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of JFT Strategies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
JFT Strategies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of JFT Strategies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JFT Strategies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of JFT Strategies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JFT Strategies Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as JFT Strategies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JFT Strategies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JFT Strategies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.93 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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JFT Strategies Hype Timeline
JFT Strategies is currently traded for 27.52on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. JFT is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on JFT Strategies is about 3100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.52. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out fundamental analysis of JFT Strategies to check your projections.JFT Strategies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JFT Strategies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JFT Strategies' future price movements. Getting to know how JFT Strategies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JFT Strategies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MID-UN | MINT Income Fund | (0.13) | 8 per month | 0.42 | 0.07 | 1.08 | (1.00) | 4.17 | |
| PBY-UN | Canso Credit Trust | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.59 | (0.06) | 0.95 | (1.00) | 5.51 | |
| SSF-UN | Symphony Floating Rate | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.34 | (0.10) | 0.80 | (0.63) | 2.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for JFT Strategies
For every potential investor in JFT, whether a beginner or expert, JFT Strategies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JFT Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JFT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JFT Strategies' price trends.JFT Strategies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JFT Strategies fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JFT Strategies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JFT Strategies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JFT Strategies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JFT Strategies fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JFT Strategies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JFT Strategies fund market strength indicators, traders can identify JFT Strategies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JFT Strategies Risk Indicators
The analysis of JFT Strategies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JFT Strategies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jft fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6937 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6989 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9314 | |||
| Variance | 0.8675 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7568 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4884 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JFT Strategies
The number of cover stories for JFT Strategies depends on current market conditions and JFT Strategies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JFT Strategies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JFT Strategies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in JFT Fund
JFT Strategies financial ratios help investors to determine whether JFT Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JFT with respect to the benefits of owning JFT Strategies security.
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