JPMorgan Global Etf Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| JGLO Etf | 69.21 0.43 0.62% |
JPMorgan Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of JPMorgan Global's share price is at 55. This indicates that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JPMorgan Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JPMorgan Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JPMorgan Global Select from the perspective of JPMorgan Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JPMorgan Global Select on the next trading day is expected to be 69.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.25. JPMorgan Global after-hype prediction price | USD 69.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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JPMorgan Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JPMorgan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JPMorgan using various technical indicators. When you analyze JPMorgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JPMorgan Global Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of JPMorgan Global Select on the next trading day is expected to be 69.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.24, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JPMorgan Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JPMorgan Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JPMorgan Global Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JPMorgan Global | JPMorgan Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
JPMorgan Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JPMorgan Global's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JPMorgan Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 68.57 and 69.85, respectively. We have considered JPMorgan Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JPMorgan Global etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JPMorgan Global etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8407 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0532 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3875 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0057 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.25 |
Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Global Select. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JPMorgan Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JPMorgan Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JPMorgan Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of JPMorgan Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JPMorgan Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JPMorgan Global's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JPMorgan Global's historical news coverage. JPMorgan Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 68.54 and 69.82, respectively. We have considered JPMorgan Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JPMorgan Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JPMorgan Global Select is based on 3 months time horizon.
JPMorgan Global Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as JPMorgan Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JPMorgan Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JPMorgan Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.64 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 18 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 18 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
69.21 | 69.18 | 0.04 |
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JPMorgan Global Hype Timeline
JPMorgan Global Select is currently traded for 69.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. JPMorgan is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 69.18. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 125.49%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on JPMorgan Global is about 450.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.20. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 18 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JPMorgan Global to cross-verify your projections.JPMorgan Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JPMorgan Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JPMorgan Global's future price movements. Getting to know how JPMorgan Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JPMorgan Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EQPGX | Fidelity Advisor Equity | (0.03) | 1 per month | 1.14 | (0.03) | 1.49 | (2.12) | 4.84 | |
| VCSAX | Vanguard Sumer Staples | (1.22) | 1 per month | 0.53 | 0.01 | 1.20 | (0.92) | 3.15 | |
| FDCAX | Fidelity Capital Appreciation | 0.38 | 1 per month | 0.70 | 0.15 | 1.35 | (1.54) | 7.71 | |
| FCNYX | Fidelity Advisor Cnsv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.60) | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.40 | |
| BOND | PIMCO Active Bond | 0.11 | 8 per month | 0.17 | (0.28) | 0.27 | (0.34) | 0.73 | |
| QQQI | NEOS Nasdaq 100 | (0.52) | 6 per month | 0.95 | (0.02) | 1.20 | (1.70) | 4.27 | |
| FATIX | Fidelity Advisor Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.05 | 2.07 | (2.06) | 6.79 | |
| JIVE | JPMorgan International Value | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1.27 | (0.91) | 2.73 | |
| FASIX | Fidelity Asset Manager | (0.03) | 12 per month | 0.08 | (0.14) | 0.35 | (0.35) | 0.91 | |
| BTC | Grayscale Bitcoin Mini | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.06 | (5.57) | 12.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for JPMorgan Global
For every potential investor in JPMorgan, whether a beginner or expert, JPMorgan Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JPMorgan Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JPMorgan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JPMorgan Global's price trends.JPMorgan Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JPMorgan Global etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JPMorgan Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPMorgan Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JPMorgan Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JPMorgan Global etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JPMorgan Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JPMorgan Global etf market strength indicators, traders can identify JPMorgan Global Select entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2111.43 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.70) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 69.1 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 69.14 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.11) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.43) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.47 |
JPMorgan Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of JPMorgan Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JPMorgan Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jpmorgan etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4837 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.6822 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6393 | |||
| Variance | 0.4087 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5937 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4654 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JPMorgan Global
The number of cover stories for JPMorgan Global depends on current market conditions and JPMorgan Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JPMorgan Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JPMorgan Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JPMorgan Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
The market value of JPMorgan Global Select is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Global's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because JPMorgan Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that JPMorgan Global's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether JPMorgan Global represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, JPMorgan Global's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.