Retirement Living Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction
| JHRDX Fund | USD 11.68 0.06 0.52% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Retirement Living Through on the next trading day is expected to be 11.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.34. Retirement Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Retirement Living's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Retirement Living hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Retirement Living Through from the perspective of Retirement Living response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Retirement Living Through on the next trading day is expected to be 11.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.34. Retirement Living after-hype prediction price | USD 11.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Retirement |
Retirement Living Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Retirement price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Retirement using various technical indicators. When you analyze Retirement charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Retirement Living Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Retirement Living Through on the next trading day is expected to be 11.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.34.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Retirement Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Retirement Living's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Retirement Living Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Retirement Living | Retirement Living Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Retirement Living Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Retirement Living's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Retirement Living's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.25 and 12.55, respectively. We have considered Retirement Living's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Retirement Living mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Retirement Living mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0914 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1184 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.3407 |
Predictive Modules for Retirement Living
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Retirement Living Through. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Retirement Living's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Retirement Living After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Retirement Living at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Retirement Living or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Retirement Living, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Retirement Living Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Retirement Living's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Retirement Living's historical news coverage. Retirement Living's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.53 and 12.83, respectively. We have considered Retirement Living's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Retirement Living is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Retirement Living Through is based on 3 months time horizon.
Retirement Living Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Retirement Living is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Retirement Living backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Retirement Living, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.15 | 0.00 | 1.38 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.68 | 11.68 | 0.00 |
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Retirement Living Hype Timeline
Retirement Living Through is currently traded for 11.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.38. Retirement is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Retirement Living is about 15.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.30. The company last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Retirement Living to cross-verify your projections.Retirement Living Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Retirement Living's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Retirement Living's future price movements. Getting to know how Retirement Living's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Retirement Living may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OPTCX | Rbb Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.40 | (0.20) | 1.00 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | 2.10 | 1 per month | 0.37 | 0.07 | 0.93 | (1.09) | 12.28 | |
| FGTZX | Ftfa Franklin Templeton Growth | (10.77) | 1 per month | 0.47 | 0.02 | 0.96 | (1.00) | 4.71 | |
| GMLVX | Guidemark Large Cap | (2.93) | 3 per month | 0.40 | 0.08 | 1.37 | (1.00) | 3.10 | |
| TFAGX | Tfa Alphagen Growth | 0.08 | 1 per month | 1.11 | 0.02 | 1.67 | (2.28) | 10.48 | |
| FMGGX | Franklin Small Mid Cap | (34.44) | 2 per month | 0.87 | 0.02 | 1.34 | (1.71) | 10.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Retirement Living
For every potential investor in Retirement, whether a beginner or expert, Retirement Living's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Retirement Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Retirement. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Retirement Living's price trends.Retirement Living Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Retirement Living mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Retirement Living could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Retirement Living by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Retirement Living Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Retirement Living mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Retirement Living shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Retirement Living mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Retirement Living Through entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.03 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.06 |
Retirement Living Risk Indicators
The analysis of Retirement Living's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Retirement Living's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting retirement mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5872 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.3766 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Variance | 1.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5091 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1418 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Retirement Living
The number of cover stories for Retirement Living depends on current market conditions and Retirement Living's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Retirement Living is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Retirement Living's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Retirement Mutual Fund
Retirement Living financial ratios help investors to determine whether Retirement Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Retirement with respect to the benefits of owning Retirement Living security.
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