Jindal Steel Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

JINDALSTEL   878.95  7.75  0.89%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jindal Steel Power on the next trading day is expected to be 878.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 904.33. Jindal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Jindal Steel's Other Stockholder Equity is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Total Liabilities is likely to gain to about 391.1 B in 2024, whereas Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop slightly above 153.3 B in 2024.
A two period moving average forecast for Jindal Steel is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Jindal Steel Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Jindal Steel Power on the next trading day is expected to be 878.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 15.33, mean absolute percentage error of 372.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 904.33.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jindal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jindal Steel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jindal Steel Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jindal Steel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jindal Steel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jindal Steel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 877.22 and 880.68, respectively. We have considered Jindal Steel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
878.95
877.22
Downside
878.95
Expected Value
880.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jindal Steel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jindal Steel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3544
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.203
MADMean absolute deviation15.3275
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.016
SAESum of the absolute errors904.325
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Jindal Steel Power price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Jindal Steel. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Jindal Steel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jindal Steel Power. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
791.06881.83883.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
683.85685.58966.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
869.06876.37883.67
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
14.8114.8114.81
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jindal Steel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jindal Steel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jindal Steel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jindal Steel Power.

Other Forecasting Options for Jindal Steel

For every potential investor in Jindal, whether a beginner or expert, Jindal Steel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jindal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jindal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jindal Steel's price trends.

Jindal Steel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jindal Steel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jindal Steel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jindal Steel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jindal Steel Power Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jindal Steel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jindal Steel's current price.

Jindal Steel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jindal Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jindal Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jindal Steel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jindal Steel Power entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jindal Steel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jindal Steel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jindal Steel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jindal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Jindal Stock Analysis

When running Jindal Steel's price analysis, check to measure Jindal Steel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jindal Steel is operating at the current time. Most of Jindal Steel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jindal Steel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jindal Steel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jindal Steel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.