JP Morgan Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| JIRE Etf | USD 74.88 0.45 0.60% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JP Morgan Exchange Traded on the next trading day is expected to be 74.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.69. JIRE Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast JP Morgan stock prices and determine the direction of JP Morgan Exchange Traded's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of JP Morgan's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of JP Morgan's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JP Morgan hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JP Morgan Exchange Traded from the perspective of JP Morgan response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards JP Morgan using JP Morgan's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards JIRE using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of JP Morgan's stock price.
JP Morgan Implied Volatility | 0.19 |
JP Morgan's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of JP Morgan Exchange Traded stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if JP Morgan's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that JP Morgan stock will not fluctuate a lot when JP Morgan's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of JP Morgan Exchange Traded on the next trading day is expected to be 74.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.69. JP Morgan after-hype prediction price | USD 74.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JP Morgan to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 JIRE Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast JP Morgan's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in JP Morgan's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for JP Morgan stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current JP Morgan's open interest, investors have to compare it to JP Morgan's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of JP Morgan is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in JIRE. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
JP Morgan Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JIRE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JIRE using various technical indicators. When you analyze JIRE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JP Morgan Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of JP Morgan Exchange Traded on the next trading day is expected to be 74.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.69.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JIRE Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JP Morgan's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JP Morgan Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JP Morgan | JP Morgan Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
JP Morgan Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JP Morgan's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JP Morgan's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.58 and 75.03, respectively. We have considered JP Morgan's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JP Morgan etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JP Morgan etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.285 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5031 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0069 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.6874 |
Predictive Modules for JP Morgan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JP Morgan Exchange. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for JP Morgan
For every potential investor in JIRE, whether a beginner or expert, JP Morgan's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JIRE Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JIRE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JP Morgan's price trends.JP Morgan Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JP Morgan etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JP Morgan could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JP Morgan by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JP Morgan Exchange Technical and Predictive Analytics
The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JP Morgan's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JP Morgan's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JP Morgan Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JP Morgan etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JP Morgan shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JP Morgan etf market strength indicators, traders can identify JP Morgan Exchange Traded entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JP Morgan Risk Indicators
The analysis of JP Morgan's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JP Morgan's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jire etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5804 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7058 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7234 | |||
| Variance | 0.5233 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6547 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4981 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JP Morgan to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
The market value of JP Morgan Exchange is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JIRE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JP Morgan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JP Morgan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JP Morgan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JP Morgan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JP Morgan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JP Morgan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JP Morgan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.