Jacob Micro Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

JMCGX Fund  USD 31.98  0.06  0.19%   
Jacob Mutual Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Jacob Micro's share price is at 53. This indicates that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Jacob Micro, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jacob Micro's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jacob Micro Cap, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Jacob Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jacob Micro Cap from the perspective of Jacob Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Jacob Micro Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 32.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.65.

Jacob Micro after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 31.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jacob Micro to cross-verify your projections.

Jacob Micro Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jacob price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jacob using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jacob charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Jacob Micro price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Jacob Micro Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Jacob Micro Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 32.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 34.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jacob Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jacob Micro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jacob Micro Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jacob Micro  Jacob Micro Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Jacob Micro Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jacob Micro's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jacob Micro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.23 and 34.05, respectively. We have considered Jacob Micro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.98
32.64
Expected Value
34.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jacob Micro mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jacob Micro mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3029
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5589
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0183
SAESum of the absolute errors34.6546
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Jacob Micro Cap historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Jacob Micro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jacob Micro Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.5731.9833.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.1431.5532.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
31.0631.7932.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jacob Micro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jacob Micro's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jacob Micro's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jacob Micro Cap.

Jacob Micro After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jacob Micro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jacob Micro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Jacob Micro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jacob Micro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jacob Micro's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jacob Micro's historical news coverage. Jacob Micro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.57 and 33.39, respectively. We have considered Jacob Micro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
31.98
31.98
After-hype Price
33.39
Upside
Jacob Micro is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jacob Micro Cap is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jacob Micro Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Jacob Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jacob Micro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jacob Micro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.41
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
31.98
31.98
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Jacob Micro Hype Timeline

Jacob Micro Cap is currently traded for 31.98. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Jacob is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Jacob Micro is about 1602.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.99. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.66. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jacob Micro Cap had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jacob Micro to cross-verify your projections.

Jacob Micro Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jacob Micro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jacob Micro's future price movements. Getting to know how Jacob Micro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jacob Micro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SHIIXCatalystexceed Defined Shield 0.01 1 per month 0.16 (0.18) 0.47 (0.37) 1.39 
SHIEXCatalystexceed Defined Shield 0.02 1 per month 0.12 (0.22) 0.38 (0.28) 1.40 
MJSCThe RBB Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.85  0.06  1.43 (1.33) 4.57 
SKTAXSaat E Market 0.02 10 per month 0.00  0.12  1.15 (0.98) 19.45 
GIGRXGamco International Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.58  0.11  1.74 (1.27) 6.88 
RYEIXEnergy Fund Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.94  0.11  2.20 (1.64) 5.17 
GNXIXAlphacentric Global Innovations 0.02 6 per month 2.56 (0.03) 4.33 (4.35) 9.72 
RYHIXHealth Care Fund 1.24 1 per month 0.45  0.08  1.97 (0.97) 4.49 
RYDHXDow Jones Industrial 0.38 11 per month 0.65 (0) 1.22 (1.05) 3.20 
CRSHTidal Trust II(0.81)6 per month 2.10 (0.02) 4.48 (3.52) 9.69 

Other Forecasting Options for Jacob Micro

For every potential investor in Jacob, whether a beginner or expert, Jacob Micro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jacob Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jacob. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jacob Micro's price trends.

Jacob Micro Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jacob Micro mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jacob Micro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jacob Micro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jacob Micro Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jacob Micro mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jacob Micro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jacob Micro mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Jacob Micro Cap entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jacob Micro Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jacob Micro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jacob Micro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jacob mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Jacob Micro

The number of cover stories for Jacob Micro depends on current market conditions and Jacob Micro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jacob Micro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jacob Micro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Other Information on Investing in Jacob Mutual Fund

Jacob Micro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jacob Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jacob with respect to the benefits of owning Jacob Micro security.
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