Nuveen Multi Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

JMM Fund  USD 6.04  0.03  0.50%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nuveen Multi Mrkt on the next trading day is expected to be 6.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.92. Nuveen Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Nuveen Multi works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Nuveen Multi Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nuveen Multi Mrkt on the next trading day is expected to be 6.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nuveen Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nuveen Multi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nuveen Multi Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Nuveen MultiNuveen Multi Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Nuveen Multi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nuveen Multi's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nuveen Multi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.38 and 6.70, respectively. We have considered Nuveen Multi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.04
6.04
Expected Value
6.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nuveen Multi fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nuveen Multi fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0058
MADMean absolute deviation0.032
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors1.9171
When Nuveen Multi Mrkt prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Nuveen Multi Mrkt trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Nuveen Multi observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Nuveen Multi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Multi Mrkt. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.396.046.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.305.956.60
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nuveen Multi

For every potential investor in Nuveen, whether a beginner or expert, Nuveen Multi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nuveen Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nuveen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nuveen Multi's price trends.

View Nuveen Multi Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nuveen Multi Mrkt Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nuveen Multi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nuveen Multi's current price.

Nuveen Multi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nuveen Multi fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nuveen Multi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nuveen Multi fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Nuveen Multi Mrkt entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nuveen Multi Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nuveen Multi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nuveen Multi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nuveen fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Fund

Nuveen Multi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Multi security.
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios