Johcm Emerging Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Johcm Emerging Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Johcm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Johcm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Johcm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Johcm Emerging is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Johcm Emerging Markets value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Johcm Emerging Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Johcm Emerging Markets on the next trading day is expected to be 15.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.49.

Johcm Emerging Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Johcm Emerging Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Johcm Emerging mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Johcm Emerging mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Johcm Emerging Markets. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Johcm Emerging. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Johcm Emerging

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johcm Emerging Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 15.05 15.90 16.75 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 14.31 17.04 17.89 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 13.91 14.99 16.08 Details

Johcm Emerging After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Johcm Emerging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Johcm Emerging Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Johcm Emerging Hype Timeline

Johcm Emerging Markets is currently traded for 15.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.16. Johcm is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Johcm Emerging is about 88.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.06. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Johcm Emerging Markets last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Johcm Emerging to cross-verify your projections.

Johcm Emerging Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Johcm Emerging

For every potential investor in Johcm, whether a beginner or expert, Johcm Emerging's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Johcm Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Johcm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Johcm Emerging's price trends.

Johcm Emerging Related Equities

Risk & Return

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Johcm Emerging Market Strength Events

Johcm Emerging Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Johcm Emerging

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