Japan Smaller Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

JOF Fund  USD 11.31  0.03  0.27%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Japan Smaller Capitalization on the next trading day is expected to be 11.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31. Japan Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Japan Smaller's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Japan Smaller's fund price is roughly 65. This indicates that the fund is rather overbought by investors as of 19th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Japan, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Japan Smaller's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Japan Smaller and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Japan Smaller's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Japan Smaller Capitalization, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Japan Smaller hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Japan Smaller Capitalization from the perspective of Japan Smaller response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Japan Smaller Capitalization on the next trading day is expected to be 11.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31.

Japan Smaller after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Japan Smaller to cross-verify your projections.

Japan Smaller Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Japan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Japan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Japan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Japan Smaller simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Japan Smaller Capitalization are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Japan Smaller Capita prices get older.

Japan Smaller Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Japan Smaller Capitalization on the next trading day is expected to be 11.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.31.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Japan Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Japan Smaller's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Japan Smaller Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Japan SmallerJapan Smaller Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Japan Smaller Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Japan Smaller's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Japan Smaller's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.42 and 12.20, respectively. We have considered Japan Smaller's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.31
11.31
Expected Value
12.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Japan Smaller fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Japan Smaller fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.5552
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0202
MADMean absolute deviation0.0718
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0068
SAESum of the absolute errors4.31
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Japan Smaller Capitalization forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Japan Smaller observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Japan Smaller

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Japan Smaller Capita. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4111.3112.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.2312.1313.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.6111.0011.40
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Japan Smaller

For every potential investor in Japan, whether a beginner or expert, Japan Smaller's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Japan Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Japan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Japan Smaller's price trends.

Japan Smaller Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Japan Smaller fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Japan Smaller could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Japan Smaller by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Japan Smaller Capita Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Japan Smaller's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Japan Smaller's current price.

Japan Smaller Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Japan Smaller fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Japan Smaller shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Japan Smaller fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Japan Smaller Capitalization entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Japan Smaller Risk Indicators

The analysis of Japan Smaller's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Japan Smaller's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting japan fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Japan Fund

Japan Smaller financial ratios help investors to determine whether Japan Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Japan with respect to the benefits of owning Japan Smaller security.
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