JRW Utility Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| JR Stock | THB 1.78 0.04 2.30% |
JRW Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of JRW Utility's share price is at 51. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JRW Utility, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using JRW Utility hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JRW Utility Public from the perspective of JRW Utility response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of JRW Utility Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67. JRW Utility after-hype prediction price | THB 1.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
JRW |
JRW Utility Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JRW price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JRW using various technical indicators. When you analyze JRW charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JRW Utility Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of JRW Utility Public on the next trading day is expected to be 1.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JRW Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JRW Utility's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JRW Utility Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JRW Utility | JRW Utility Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
JRW Utility Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JRW Utility's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JRW Utility's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.13 and 2.37, respectively. We have considered JRW Utility's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JRW Utility stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JRW Utility stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.6089 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0109 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0064 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.6672 |
Predictive Modules for JRW Utility
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JRW Utility Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.JRW Utility After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of JRW Utility at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in JRW Utility or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of JRW Utility, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
JRW Utility Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting JRW Utility's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on JRW Utility's historical news coverage. JRW Utility's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.16 and 2.40, respectively. We have considered JRW Utility's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
JRW Utility is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of JRW Utility Public is based on 3 months time horizon.
JRW Utility Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as JRW Utility is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JRW Utility backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with JRW Utility, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.78 | 1.78 | 0.00 |
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JRW Utility Hype Timeline
JRW Utility Public is currently traded for 1.78on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. JRW is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on JRW Utility is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.78. About 69.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of JRW Utility was currently reported as 2.18. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JRW Utility to cross-verify your projections.JRW Utility Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to JRW Utility's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict JRW Utility's future price movements. Getting to know how JRW Utility's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how JRW Utility may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNT | Christiani Nielsen Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.78 | (0.02) | 3.81 | (2.78) | 10.42 | |
| PREB | Pre Built Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | 0.03 | 1.71 | (1.67) | 4.50 | |
| STI | Stonehenge Inter Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.07 | (2.30) | 4.65 | |
| ARROW | Arrow Syndicate Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.48 | (0.02) | 1.00 | (0.99) | 2.92 | |
| QTC | QTC Energy Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | (0.03) | 2.35 | (1.74) | 5.65 | |
| HYDRO | Hydrotek Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 9.70 | (16.24) | 41.93 | |
| KCAR | Krungthai Car Rent | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.49 | 0.02 | 0.94 | (0.93) | 2.80 | |
| AKR | Ekarat Engineering Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | (0.03) | 2.30 | (2.27) | 4.65 | |
| HARN | Harn Engineering Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.31 | (0.06) | 0.52 | (0.51) | 2.06 | |
| FTE | Firetrade Engineering PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1.15 | (0.57) | 3.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for JRW Utility
For every potential investor in JRW, whether a beginner or expert, JRW Utility's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JRW Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JRW. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JRW Utility's price trends.JRW Utility Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JRW Utility stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JRW Utility could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JRW Utility by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JRW Utility Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JRW Utility stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JRW Utility shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JRW Utility stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JRW Utility Public entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JRW Utility Risk Indicators
The analysis of JRW Utility's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JRW Utility's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jrw stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.425 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2854 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.6073 | |||
| Variance | 0.3688 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.5986 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0815 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JRW Utility
The number of cover stories for JRW Utility depends on current market conditions and JRW Utility's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JRW Utility is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JRW Utility's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in JRW Stock
JRW Utility financial ratios help investors to determine whether JRW Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JRW with respect to the benefits of owning JRW Utility security.