Jasmine Telecom Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

JTS Stock  THB 66.50  1.75  2.56%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jasmine Telecom Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 63.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.12. Jasmine Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A naive forecasting model for Jasmine Telecom is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Jasmine Telecom Systems value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Jasmine Telecom Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jasmine Telecom Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 63.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.53, mean absolute percentage error of 3.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 93.12.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jasmine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jasmine Telecom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jasmine Telecom Stock Forecast Pattern

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Jasmine Telecom Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jasmine Telecom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jasmine Telecom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.11 and 65.95, respectively. We have considered Jasmine Telecom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
66.50
63.03
Expected Value
65.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jasmine Telecom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jasmine Telecom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3846
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.5266
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0218
SAESum of the absolute errors93.1201
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Jasmine Telecom Systems. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Jasmine Telecom. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Jasmine Telecom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jasmine Telecom Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
63.5866.5069.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.7257.6473.15
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
65.4069.3173.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Jasmine Telecom

For every potential investor in Jasmine, whether a beginner or expert, Jasmine Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jasmine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jasmine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jasmine Telecom's price trends.

Jasmine Telecom Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jasmine Telecom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jasmine Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jasmine Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jasmine Telecom Systems Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Jasmine Telecom's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Jasmine Telecom's current price.

Jasmine Telecom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jasmine Telecom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jasmine Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jasmine Telecom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jasmine Telecom Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jasmine Telecom Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jasmine Telecom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jasmine Telecom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jasmine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Jasmine Stock

Jasmine Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jasmine Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jasmine with respect to the benefits of owning Jasmine Telecom security.