Coffee Holding Stock Forward View
| JVA Stock | USD 3.19 0.01 0.31% |
Coffee Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Coffee Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Coffee Holding Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Coffee Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Coffee Holding's share price is approaching 35. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Coffee Holding, making its price go up or down. Momentum 35
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Wall Street Target Price 7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.308 |
Using Coffee Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coffee Holding Co from the perspective of Coffee Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coffee Holding Co on the next trading day is expected to be 3.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.52. Coffee Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 3.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coffee Holding to cross-verify your projections. Coffee Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Coffee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coffee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coffee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Coffee Holding Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Coffee Holding's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1997-10-31 | Previous Quarter 979.8 K | Current Value 701.9 K | Quarterly Volatility 1.8 M |
Coffee Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Coffee Holding Co on the next trading day is expected to be 3.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Coffee Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Coffee Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Coffee Holding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Coffee Holding | Coffee Holding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Coffee Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Coffee Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Coffee Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 6.44, respectively. We have considered Coffee Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Coffee Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Coffee Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8482 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0904 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0245 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.5165 |
Predictive Modules for Coffee Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coffee Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coffee Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Coffee Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Coffee Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coffee Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Coffee Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Coffee Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Coffee Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coffee Holding's historical news coverage. Coffee Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 6.59, respectively. We have considered Coffee Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Coffee Holding is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coffee Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Coffee Holding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Coffee Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coffee Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coffee Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 3.40 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.19 | 3.19 | 0.00 |
|
Coffee Holding Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Coffee Holding is traded for 3.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Coffee is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. %. The volatility of related hype on Coffee Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.19. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.66. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Coffee Holding last dividend was issued on the 10th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coffee Holding to cross-verify your projections.Coffee Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Coffee Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coffee Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Coffee Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coffee Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BTOG | Bit Origin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 8.29 | (11.71) | 52.92 | |
| BLNE | Eastside Distilling | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.64 | 0.09 | 13.82 | (8.46) | 26.49 | |
| NAII | Natural Alternatives International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.08 | 0.15 | 9.16 | (5.65) | 28.68 | |
| MWYN | Marwynn Holdings Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.50 | (7.87) | 29.68 | |
| BTCT | BTC Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.39 | (6.98) | 31.86 | |
| NCRA | Nocera Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 13.10 | (11.76) | 36.76 | |
| PLAG | Planet Green Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.39 | 0.15 | 19.77 | (13.96) | 65.84 | |
| PETZ | TDH Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.07 | 4.04 | (2.97) | 12.06 | |
| IH | Ihuman Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 5.09 | (5.26) | 12.79 | |
| COOT | Australian Oilseeds Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.40 | (10.10) | 34.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Coffee Holding
For every potential investor in Coffee, whether a beginner or expert, Coffee Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Coffee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Coffee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Coffee Holding's price trends.Coffee Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Coffee Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Coffee Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Coffee Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Coffee Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Coffee Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Coffee Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Coffee Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Coffee Holding Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Coffee Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Coffee Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Coffee Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting coffee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.39 | |||
| Variance | 11.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Coffee Holding
The number of cover stories for Coffee Holding depends on current market conditions and Coffee Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coffee Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coffee Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Coffee Holding Short Properties
Coffee Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Coffee Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coffee Holding Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coffee Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coffee Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 701.9 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Coffee Holding to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coffee Holding. Expected growth trajectory for Coffee significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Coffee Holding assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.36) | Earnings Share 0.25 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.308 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Coffee Holding requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Coffee's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Coffee Holding's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Coffee Holding's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Coffee Holding's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Coffee Holding represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Coffee Holding's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.