Jayud Global Stock Forward View

JYD Stock   2.48  0.07  2.75%   
Jayud Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Jayud Global stock prices and determine the direction of Jayud Global Logistics's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Jayud Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Jayud Global's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Jayud Global's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Jayud Global and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Jayud Global's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Jayud Global Logistics, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Jayud Global's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
Using Jayud Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jayud Global Logistics from the perspective of Jayud Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Jayud Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jayud Global Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 2.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.64.

Jayud Global Logistics Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Jayud Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jayud. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jayud can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jayud Global Logistics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jayud Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jayud Global.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jayud Global Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 2.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.64.

Jayud Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jayud Global to cross-verify your projections.

Jayud Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Jayud price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jayud using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jayud charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Jayud Global Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Jayud Global's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
42.5 M
Current Value
34.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
6.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Jayud Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Jayud Global Logistics value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Jayud Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jayud Global Logistics on the next trading day is expected to be 2.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.64.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jayud Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jayud Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Jayud Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Jayud Global  Jayud Global Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Jayud Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Jayud Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jayud Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 8.18, respectively. We have considered Jayud Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.48
2.46
Expected Value
8.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jayud Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jayud Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0681
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3055
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0803
SAESum of the absolute errors18.6381
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Jayud Global Logistics. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Jayud Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Jayud Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jayud Global Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jayud Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.122.358.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.388.10
Details

Jayud Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Jayud Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jayud Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jayud Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Jayud Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Jayud Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jayud Global's historical news coverage. Jayud Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.12 and 8.07, respectively. We have considered Jayud Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.48
2.35
After-hype Price
8.07
Upside
Jayud Global is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jayud Global Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.

Jayud Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jayud Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jayud Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jayud Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.39 
5.72
  0.13 
  0.10 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.48
2.35
5.24 
1,682  
Notes

Jayud Global Hype Timeline

On the 9th of February Jayud Global Logistics is traded for 2.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Jayud is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -5.24%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Jayud Global is about 2222.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.38. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Jayud Global Logistics recorded a loss per share of 6.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 13th of October 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jayud Global to cross-verify your projections.

Jayud Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Jayud Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jayud Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Jayud Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jayud Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LSHLakeside Holding Limited(0.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 11.76 (12.90) 58.71 
NCEWNew Century Logistics 0.56 6 per month 6.00  0.14  17.35 (9.04) 40.32 
PSIGPS International Group(0.05)7 per month 3.24  0.1  11.11 (5.30) 44.89 
EHGOEshallgo Class A 0.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.16) 9.09 (8.33) 34.40 
HYFMHydrofarm Holdings Group(0.07)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 12.26 (9.50) 47.42 
YGMZMingzhu Logistics Holdings(0)8 per month 0.00 (0.21) 33.33 (36.84) 130.11 
HKPDHong Kong Pharma 0.02 9 per month 0.00 (0.14) 6.67 (8.08) 20.47 
AIRIAir Industries Group 0.05 6 per month 2.33  0.01  3.72 (4.01) 25.67 
ILAGIntelligent Living Application(3.07)6 per month 0.00 (0.08) 12.55 (13.98) 69.73 
CRGOFreightos Limited Ordinary 0.02 10 per month 0.00 (0.15) 7.47 (7.69) 34.36 

Other Forecasting Options for Jayud Global

For every potential investor in Jayud, whether a beginner or expert, Jayud Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jayud Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jayud. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jayud Global's price trends.

Jayud Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jayud Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jayud Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jayud Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Jayud Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jayud Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jayud Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jayud Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jayud Global Logistics entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Jayud Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Jayud Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jayud Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jayud stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Jayud Global

The number of cover stories for Jayud Global depends on current market conditions and Jayud Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jayud Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jayud Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Jayud Global Short Properties

Jayud Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jayud Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jayud Global Logistics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jayud Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jayud Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments37 M
When determining whether Jayud Global Logistics is a strong investment it is important to analyze Jayud Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Jayud Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Jayud Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jayud Global to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Air Freight & Logistics sector continue expanding? Could Jayud diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jayud Global. Expected growth trajectory for Jayud significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Jayud Global data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(6.05)
Revenue Per Share
440.346
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.037
Return On Assets
(0.15)
Return On Equity
(1.88)
The market value of Jayud Global Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Jayud that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Jayud Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Jayud Global's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Jayud Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Jayud Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Jayud Global's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Jayud Global represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Jayud Global's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.