SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

K41 Stock   0.83  0.03  3.49%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK 040 on the next trading day is expected to be 0.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.91. SCANDMEDICAL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK 040 value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK 040 on the next trading day is expected to be 0.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SCANDMEDICAL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.06, respectively. We have considered SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.83
0.83
Expected Value
4.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.1692
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0149
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0186
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9081
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK 040. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK 040. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.834.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.693.91
Details

Other Forecasting Options for SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040

For every potential investor in SCANDMEDICAL, whether a beginner or expert, SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SCANDMEDICAL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SCANDMEDICAL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's price trends.

SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK 040 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's current price.

SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK 040 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 Risk Indicators

The analysis of SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting scandmedical stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in SCANDMEDICAL Stock

SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 financial ratios help investors to determine whether SCANDMEDICAL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SCANDMEDICAL with respect to the benefits of owning SCANDMEDICAL SOLDK-040 security.