KENYA AIRWAYS Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| KA Stock | 80.00 0.00 0.00% |
KENYA |
KENYA AIRWAYS Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of KENYA AIRWAYS LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 80.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KENYA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KENYA AIRWAYS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KENYA AIRWAYS Stock Forecast Pattern
KENYA AIRWAYS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KENYA AIRWAYS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KENYA AIRWAYS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.00 and 80.00, respectively. We have considered KENYA AIRWAYS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KENYA AIRWAYS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KENYA AIRWAYS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for KENYA AIRWAYS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KENYA AIRWAYS LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KENYA AIRWAYS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for KENYA AIRWAYS
For every potential investor in KENYA, whether a beginner or expert, KENYA AIRWAYS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KENYA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KENYA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KENYA AIRWAYS's price trends.KENYA AIRWAYS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KENYA AIRWAYS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KENYA AIRWAYS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KENYA AIRWAYS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KENYA AIRWAYS LTD Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KENYA AIRWAYS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KENYA AIRWAYS's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KENYA AIRWAYS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KENYA AIRWAYS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KENYA AIRWAYS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KENYA AIRWAYS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KENYA AIRWAYS LTD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.