Kansai Electric Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

KAEPFDelisted Stock  USD 15.48  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Kansai Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Kansai Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kansai Electric's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Kansai Electric is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of The Kansai Electric value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kansai Electric Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Kansai Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 15.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kansai Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kansai Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kansai Electric Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kansai ElectricKansai Electric Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kansai Electric pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kansai Electric pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria55.097
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of The Kansai Electric. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kansai Electric. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kansai Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kansai Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.4815.4815.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.1613.1617.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.4815.4815.48
Details

Kansai Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kansai Electric pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kansai Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kansai Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kansai Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kansai Electric pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kansai Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kansai Electric pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The Kansai Electric entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Other Consideration for investing in Kansai Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Kansai Electric check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Kansai Electric's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets