Kansai Electric Pink Sheet Forward View

KAEPF Stock  USD 16.97  0.97  6.06%   
Kansai Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kansai Electric's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Kansai Electric's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kansai Electric's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kansai Electric and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kansai Electric's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Kansai Electric, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kansai Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Kansai Electric from the perspective of Kansai Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Kansai Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 16.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.40.

Kansai Electric after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kansai Electric to cross-verify your projections.

Kansai Electric Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kansai price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kansai using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kansai charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Kansai Electric is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of The Kansai Electric value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kansai Electric Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of The Kansai Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 16.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kansai Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kansai Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kansai Electric Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kansai Electric  Kansai Electric Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Kansai Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kansai Electric's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kansai Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.54 and 18.91, respectively. We have considered Kansai Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.97
16.23
Expected Value
18.91
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kansai Electric pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kansai Electric pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3011
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3129
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0192
SAESum of the absolute errors19.4006
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of The Kansai Electric. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kansai Electric. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kansai Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kansai Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.2816.9719.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.7314.4217.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
15.0216.1617.31
Details

Kansai Electric After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kansai Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kansai Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kansai Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kansai Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kansai Electric's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kansai Electric's historical news coverage. Kansai Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.28 and 19.66, respectively. We have considered Kansai Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.97
16.97
After-hype Price
19.66
Upside
Kansai Electric is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kansai Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kansai Electric Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kansai Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kansai Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kansai Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
2.69
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.97
16.97
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kansai Electric Hype Timeline

Kansai Electric is now traded for 16.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kansai is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kansai Electric is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.97. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.62. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kansai Electric last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. The entity had 101:100 split on the 26th of September 1995. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kansai Electric to cross-verify your projections.

Kansai Electric Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kansai Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kansai Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Kansai Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kansai Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CZAVFCEZ a s 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CLPXFChina Longyuan Power 0.00 0 per month 8.14  0.18  26.32 (19.54) 45.86 
TERRFTerna Rete 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  9.32 
HUNGFHuaneng Power International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.17 (5.00) 12.07 
SNMRFSnam SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  17.90 
EDRVFEDP Renovaveis 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00 (0.20) 10.78 
TNABYTenaga Nasional Berhad 0.00 0 per month 2.24  0.07  6.61 (4.49) 33.33 
CKISFCK Infrastructure Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.00  0.00  11.57 
TNABFTenaga Nasional Berhad 0.00 0 per month 2.05  0.05  6.29 (4.45) 15.31 
FOJCFFortum Oyj 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  3.89 (0.05) 24.02 

Other Forecasting Options for Kansai Electric

For every potential investor in Kansai, whether a beginner or expert, Kansai Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kansai Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kansai. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kansai Electric's price trends.

Kansai Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kansai Electric pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kansai Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kansai Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kansai Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kansai Electric pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kansai Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kansai Electric pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify The Kansai Electric entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kansai Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kansai Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kansai Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kansai pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kansai Electric

The number of cover stories for Kansai Electric depends on current market conditions and Kansai Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kansai Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kansai Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Kansai Electric Short Properties

Kansai Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kansai Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of The Kansai Electric often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kansai Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kansai Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding893.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments469.1 B

Other Information on Investing in Kansai Pink Sheet

Kansai Electric financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kansai Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kansai with respect to the benefits of owning Kansai Electric security.