Kaanapali Land Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KANP Stock | USD 27.47 1.97 7.73% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kaanapali Land LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 27.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.18. Kaanapali Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Kaanapali Land's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kaanapali Land hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kaanapali Land LLC from the perspective of Kaanapali Land response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kaanapali Land LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 27.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.18. Kaanapali Land after-hype prediction price | USD 27.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kaanapali |
Kaanapali Land Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kaanapali price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kaanapali using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kaanapali charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kaanapali Land Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kaanapali Land LLC on the next trading day is expected to be 27.47 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kaanapali Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kaanapali Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kaanapali Land Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kaanapali Land | Kaanapali Land Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kaanapali Land Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kaanapali Land's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kaanapali Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.42 and 30.51, respectively. We have considered Kaanapali Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kaanapali Land pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kaanapali Land pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9773 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1762 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4364 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0152 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.1812 |
Predictive Modules for Kaanapali Land
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaanapali Land LLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kaanapali Land After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kaanapali Land at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kaanapali Land or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kaanapali Land, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kaanapali Land Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kaanapali Land's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kaanapali Land's historical news coverage. Kaanapali Land's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.42 and 30.52, respectively. We have considered Kaanapali Land's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kaanapali Land is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kaanapali Land LLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kaanapali Land Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kaanapali Land is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kaanapali Land backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kaanapali Land, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 3.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.47 | 27.47 | 0.00 |
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Kaanapali Land Hype Timeline
Kaanapali Land LLC is now traded for 27.47. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kaanapali is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kaanapali Land is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.47. About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.49. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kaanapali Land LLC had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaanapali Land to cross-verify your projections.Kaanapali Land Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kaanapali Land's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kaanapali Land's future price movements. Getting to know how Kaanapali Land's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kaanapali Land may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FHRT | First Hartford | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | 0.10 | 11.11 | (4.53) | 22.33 | |
| GCCO | Garden City Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LVSDF | Lai Sun Development | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DOLHF | Dolphin Capital Investors | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.63 | |
| MHIVF | Invesque | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.95 | 0.09 | 23.08 | (13.04) | 75.87 | |
| MRTI | Maxus Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.47 | 0.15 | 16.72 | (11.10) | 40.37 | |
| BVERS | Beaver Coal Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.56 | 0.0003 | 4.88 | (7.50) | 23.33 | |
| CPTP | Capital Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.71 | 0.06 | 4.35 | (1.41) | 30.71 | |
| KDCCF | Kadestone Capital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LPMDF | Lippo Malls Indonesia | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kaanapali Land
For every potential investor in Kaanapali, whether a beginner or expert, Kaanapali Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kaanapali Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kaanapali. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kaanapali Land's price trends.Kaanapali Land Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kaanapali Land pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kaanapali Land could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaanapali Land by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kaanapali Land Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kaanapali Land pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kaanapali Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kaanapali Land pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Kaanapali Land LLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.47 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.98 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.97 |
Kaanapali Land Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kaanapali Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kaanapali Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kaanapali pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Variance | 9.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kaanapali Land
The number of cover stories for Kaanapali Land depends on current market conditions and Kaanapali Land's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kaanapali Land is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kaanapali Land's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kaanapali Land Short Properties
Kaanapali Land's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kaanapali Land's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kaanapali Land LLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kaanapali Land's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaanapali Land's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17 M |
Additional Tools for Kaanapali Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Kaanapali Land's price analysis, check to measure Kaanapali Land's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kaanapali Land is operating at the current time. Most of Kaanapali Land's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kaanapali Land's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kaanapali Land's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kaanapali Land to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.