KraneShares Electric Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

KARS Etf  USD 30.54  0.35  1.13%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KraneShares Electric Vehicles on the next trading day is expected to be 30.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.50. KraneShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of KraneShares Electric's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of KraneShares Electric's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of KraneShares Electric and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from KraneShares Electric's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with KraneShares Electric Vehicles, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using KraneShares Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KraneShares Electric Vehicles from the perspective of KraneShares Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KraneShares Electric using KraneShares Electric's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KraneShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KraneShares Electric's stock price.

KraneShares Electric Implied Volatility

    
  0.38  
KraneShares Electric's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KraneShares Electric Vehicles stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KraneShares Electric's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KraneShares Electric stock will not fluctuate a lot when KraneShares Electric's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KraneShares Electric Vehicles on the next trading day is expected to be 30.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.50.

KraneShares Electric after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 30.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares Electric to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 KraneShares Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KraneShares Electric's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KraneShares Electric's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KraneShares Electric stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KraneShares Electric's open interest, investors have to compare it to KraneShares Electric's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KraneShares Electric is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KraneShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

KraneShares Electric Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine KraneShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KraneShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze KraneShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
KraneShares Electric simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for KraneShares Electric Vehicles are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as KraneShares Electric prices get older.

KraneShares Electric Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of KraneShares Electric Vehicles on the next trading day is expected to be 30.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.50.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KraneShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KraneShares Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KraneShares Electric Etf Forecast Pattern

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KraneShares Electric Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KraneShares Electric's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KraneShares Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 28.86 and 32.28, respectively. We have considered KraneShares Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.54
30.57
Expected Value
32.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KraneShares Electric etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KraneShares Electric etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.9064
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.018
MADMean absolute deviation0.3583
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors21.5003
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting KraneShares Electric Vehicles forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent KraneShares Electric observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for KraneShares Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
28.8330.5432.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.8330.5432.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.9530.5931.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for KraneShares Electric

For every potential investor in KraneShares, whether a beginner or expert, KraneShares Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KraneShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KraneShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KraneShares Electric's price trends.

KraneShares Electric Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KraneShares Electric etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KraneShares Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KraneShares Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KraneShares Electric Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KraneShares Electric's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KraneShares Electric's current price.

KraneShares Electric Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KraneShares Electric etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KraneShares Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KraneShares Electric etf market strength indicators, traders can identify KraneShares Electric Vehicles entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KraneShares Electric Risk Indicators

The analysis of KraneShares Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KraneShares Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraneshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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When determining whether KraneShares Electric is a strong investment it is important to analyze KraneShares Electric's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact KraneShares Electric's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding KraneShares Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares Electric to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
The market value of KraneShares Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.