Kaya Holdings OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

Kaya Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kaya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kaya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kaya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Kaya Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kaya Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kaya Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kaya Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000019, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.21.

Kaya Holdings OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kaya Holdings otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kaya Holdings otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kaya Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kaya Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kaya Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaya Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 0.00 0.04 15.21 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 0.00 0.03 15.20 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 0.03 0.04 0.05 Details

Kaya Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Kaya Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Kaya Holdings OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Kaya Holdings Hype Timeline

Kaya Holdings is now traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kaya is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 13.31%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.87%. The volatility of related hype on Kaya Holdings is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. Kaya Holdings currently holds 7.18 M in liabilities. Kaya Holdings has a current ratio of 0.02, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Kaya Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kaya Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kaya Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kaya to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kaya Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaya Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Kaya Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Kaya Holdings

For every potential investor in Kaya, whether a beginner or expert, Kaya Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kaya OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kaya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kaya Holdings' price trends.

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