Kaya Holdings OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KAYS Stock  USD 0.04  0  2.86%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kaya Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19. Kaya OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Kaya Holdings' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Kaya Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kaya Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kaya Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kaya Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kaya Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kaya Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kaya Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Kaya Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kaya Holdings from the perspective of Kaya Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kaya Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19.

Kaya Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.05  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaya Holdings to cross-verify your projections.

Kaya Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kaya price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kaya using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kaya charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Kaya Holdings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kaya Holdings value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kaya Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kaya Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000016, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kaya OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kaya Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kaya Holdings OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kaya HoldingsKaya Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kaya Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kaya Holdings' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kaya Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 14.27, respectively. We have considered Kaya Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
14.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kaya Holdings otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kaya Holdings otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.8774
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0031
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0799
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1898
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kaya Holdings. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kaya Holdings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kaya Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaya Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kaya Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0513.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0413.96
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kaya Holdings

For every potential investor in Kaya, whether a beginner or expert, Kaya Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kaya OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kaya. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kaya Holdings' price trends.

Kaya Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kaya Holdings otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kaya Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaya Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kaya Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kaya Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kaya Holdings' current price.

Kaya Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kaya Holdings otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kaya Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kaya Holdings otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kaya Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kaya Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kaya Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kaya Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kaya otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Kaya OTC Stock Analysis

When running Kaya Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Kaya Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kaya Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Kaya Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kaya Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kaya Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kaya Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.