KraneShares Bosera Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction
| KBA Etf | USD 30.79 0.35 1.12% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KraneShares Bosera MSCI on the next trading day is expected to be 30.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.62. KraneShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast KraneShares Bosera stock prices and determine the direction of KraneShares Bosera MSCI's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KraneShares Bosera's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of KraneShares Bosera's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KraneShares Bosera hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KraneShares Bosera MSCI from the perspective of KraneShares Bosera response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KraneShares Bosera using KraneShares Bosera's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KraneShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KraneShares Bosera's stock price.
KraneShares Bosera Implied Volatility | 0.46 |
KraneShares Bosera's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KraneShares Bosera MSCI stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KraneShares Bosera's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KraneShares Bosera stock will not fluctuate a lot when KraneShares Bosera's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KraneShares Bosera MSCI on the next trading day is expected to be 30.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.62. KraneShares Bosera after-hype prediction price | USD 30.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current KraneShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that KraneShares Bosera MSCI will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0288% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With KraneShares Bosera trading at USD 30.79, that is roughly USD 0.008852 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating KraneShares Bosera's daily price movement you should consider acquiring KraneShares Bosera MSCI options at the current volatility level of 0.46%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 KraneShares Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KraneShares Bosera's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KraneShares Bosera's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KraneShares Bosera stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KraneShares Bosera's open interest, investors have to compare it to KraneShares Bosera's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KraneShares Bosera is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KraneShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
KraneShares Bosera Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KraneShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KraneShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze KraneShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KraneShares Bosera Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of KraneShares Bosera MSCI on the next trading day is expected to be 30.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KraneShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KraneShares Bosera's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KraneShares Bosera Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KraneShares Bosera | KraneShares Bosera Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
KraneShares Bosera Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KraneShares Bosera's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KraneShares Bosera's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.47 and 31.22, respectively. We have considered KraneShares Bosera's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KraneShares Bosera etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KraneShares Bosera etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6793 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2397 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0079 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.6227 |
Predictive Modules for KraneShares Bosera
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KraneShares Bosera MSCI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KraneShares Bosera After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KraneShares Bosera at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KraneShares Bosera or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of KraneShares Bosera, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KraneShares Bosera Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KraneShares Bosera's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KraneShares Bosera's historical news coverage. KraneShares Bosera's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.92 and 31.66, respectively. We have considered KraneShares Bosera's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KraneShares Bosera is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KraneShares Bosera MSCI is based on 3 months time horizon.
KraneShares Bosera Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as KraneShares Bosera is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KraneShares Bosera backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KraneShares Bosera, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.79 | 30.79 | 0.00 |
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KraneShares Bosera Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January KraneShares Bosera MSCI is traded for 30.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KraneShares is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on KraneShares Bosera is about 1611.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.79. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.91. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares Bosera to cross-verify your projections.KraneShares Bosera Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KraneShares Bosera's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KraneShares Bosera's future price movements. Getting to know how KraneShares Bosera's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KraneShares Bosera may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNYA | iShares MSCI China | 0.12 | 2 per month | 0.73 | 0.04 | 1.22 | (1.29) | 3.15 | |
| FXG | First Trust Consumer | (0.23) | 5 per month | 0.69 | (0.06) | 1.35 | (1.11) | 3.17 | |
| FLCH | Franklin FTSE China | 0.07 | 2 per month | 0.85 | (0.07) | 1.71 | (1.52) | 5.29 | |
| PPIE | Putnam ETF Trust | 0.03 | 2 per month | 0.66 | 0.01 | 1.18 | (1.45) | 3.40 | |
| BKGI | BNY Mellon ETF | 0.05 | 2 per month | 0.36 | 0.02 | 1.01 | (0.79) | 2.28 | |
| DINT | Davis Select International | (0.10) | 4 per month | 0.93 | 0.02 | 1.36 | (1.37) | 4.26 | |
| AVMV | American Century ETF | 0.49 | 1 per month | 0.64 | 0.07 | 1.83 | (1.28) | 3.67 | |
| CSB | VictoryShares Small Cap | (0.23) | 1 per month | 0.68 | 0.02 | 1.94 | (1.24) | 3.66 | |
| HAWX | iShares Currency Hedged | 0.11 | 4 per month | 0.52 | 0.05 | 1.11 | (0.98) | 3.06 | |
| FLV | American Century ETF | 0.23 | 3 per month | 0.44 | 0.01 | 1.19 | (1.03) | 2.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for KraneShares Bosera
For every potential investor in KraneShares, whether a beginner or expert, KraneShares Bosera's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KraneShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KraneShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KraneShares Bosera's price trends.KraneShares Bosera Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KraneShares Bosera etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KraneShares Bosera could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KraneShares Bosera by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KraneShares Bosera Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KraneShares Bosera etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KraneShares Bosera shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KraneShares Bosera etf market strength indicators, traders can identify KraneShares Bosera MSCI entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KraneShares Bosera Risk Indicators
The analysis of KraneShares Bosera's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KraneShares Bosera's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraneshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7392 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8389 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8992 | |||
| Variance | 0.8085 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9139 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7038 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.77) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KraneShares Bosera
The number of cover stories for KraneShares Bosera depends on current market conditions and KraneShares Bosera's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KraneShares Bosera is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KraneShares Bosera's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KraneShares Bosera to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
The market value of KraneShares Bosera MSCI is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KraneShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KraneShares Bosera's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KraneShares Bosera's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because KraneShares Bosera's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KraneShares Bosera's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between KraneShares Bosera's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if KraneShares Bosera is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, KraneShares Bosera's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.