KBC Groep Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| KBCSY Stock | USD 72.31 1.87 2.65% |
KBC Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of KBC Groep's share price is above 70 at this time. This indicates that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling KBC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KBC Groep hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KBC Groep NV from the perspective of KBC Groep response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of KBC Groep NV on the next trading day is expected to be 72.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.68. KBC Groep after-hype prediction price | USD 72.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KBC |
KBC Groep Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze KBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KBC Groep Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of KBC Groep NV on the next trading day is expected to be 72.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.64, mean absolute percentage error of 0.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 38.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KBC Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KBC Groep's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KBC Groep Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KBC Groep | KBC Groep Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
KBC Groep Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KBC Groep's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KBC Groep's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.19 and 73.43, respectively. We have considered KBC Groep's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KBC Groep pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KBC Groep pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.888 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2987 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6447 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 38.68 |
Predictive Modules for KBC Groep
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KBC Groep NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of KBC Groep's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
KBC Groep After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KBC Groep at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KBC Groep or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of KBC Groep, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KBC Groep Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KBC Groep's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KBC Groep's historical news coverage. KBC Groep's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 71.17 and 73.45, respectively. We have considered KBC Groep's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KBC Groep is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KBC Groep NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
KBC Groep Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KBC Groep is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KBC Groep backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KBC Groep, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
72.31 | 72.31 | 0.00 |
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KBC Groep Hype Timeline
KBC Groep NV is now traded for 72.31. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KBC is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on KBC Groep is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 72.31. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.2. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KBC Groep NV has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KBC Groep to cross-verify your projections.KBC Groep Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KBC Groep's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KBC Groep's future price movements. Getting to know how KBC Groep's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KBC Groep may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBKFF | State Bank of | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 4.69 | 0.00 | 22.65 | |
| EBKDY | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.26 | 3.25 | (1.80) | 8.44 | |
| MZHOF | Mizuho Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.62 | 0.10 | 4.81 | (4.49) | 17.13 | |
| BNPQY | BNP Paribas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | 0.34 | 2.86 | (1.38) | 6.05 | |
| BNPQF | BNP Paribas SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.16 | 4.25 | (2.87) | 12.43 | |
| UNCRY | UniCredit SpA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.18 | 2.62 | (2.07) | 8.57 | |
| SMFNF | Sumitomo Mitsui Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.53 | 0.12 | 5.72 | (4.91) | 13.02 | |
| UNCFF | UniCredit SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.63 | 0.12 | 3.32 | (2.54) | 11.35 | |
| DBSDF | DBS Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.06 | 5.31 | (5.62) | 14.55 | |
| AXAHY | Axa SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | (0.05) | 1.19 | (1.36) | 4.18 |
Other Forecasting Options for KBC Groep
For every potential investor in KBC, whether a beginner or expert, KBC Groep's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KBC Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KBC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KBC Groep's price trends.KBC Groep Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KBC Groep pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KBC Groep could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KBC Groep by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KBC Groep Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KBC Groep pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KBC Groep shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KBC Groep pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify KBC Groep NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
KBC Groep Risk Indicators
The analysis of KBC Groep's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KBC Groep's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kbc pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8868 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4979 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Variance | 1.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.7189 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2479 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.10) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KBC Groep
The number of cover stories for KBC Groep depends on current market conditions and KBC Groep's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KBC Groep is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KBC Groep's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for KBC Pink Sheet Analysis
When running KBC Groep's price analysis, check to measure KBC Groep's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KBC Groep is operating at the current time. Most of KBC Groep's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KBC Groep's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KBC Groep's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KBC Groep to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.