Kraig Biocraft OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| KBLB Stock | USD 0.08 0.01 11.11% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kraig Biocraft Labs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. Kraig OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kraig Biocraft stock prices and determine the direction of Kraig Biocraft Labs's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kraig Biocraft's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of rsi of Kraig Biocraft's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kraig Biocraft based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Kraig Biocraft hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kraig Biocraft Labs from the perspective of Kraig Biocraft response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kraig Biocraft Labs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17. Kraig Biocraft after-hype prediction price | USD 0.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kraig |
Kraig Biocraft Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kraig price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kraig using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kraig charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kraig Biocraft Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kraig Biocraft Labs on the next trading day is expected to be 0.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000017, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kraig OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kraig Biocraft's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kraig Biocraft OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kraig Biocraft | Kraig Biocraft Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kraig Biocraft Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kraig Biocraft's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kraig Biocraft's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0008 and 5.52, respectively. We have considered Kraig Biocraft's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kraig Biocraft otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kraig Biocraft otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.3067 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 4.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0028 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0334 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1682 |
Predictive Modules for Kraig Biocraft
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kraig Biocraft Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kraig Biocraft After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kraig Biocraft at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kraig Biocraft or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Kraig Biocraft, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kraig Biocraft Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kraig Biocraft's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kraig Biocraft's historical news coverage. Kraig Biocraft's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 5.51, respectively. We have considered Kraig Biocraft's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kraig Biocraft is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kraig Biocraft Labs is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kraig Biocraft OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Kraig Biocraft is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kraig Biocraft backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kraig Biocraft, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 5.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.08 | 0.08 | 0.00 |
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Kraig Biocraft Hype Timeline
Kraig Biocraft Labs is now traded for 0.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kraig is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kraig Biocraft is about 108600.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.08. About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Kraig Biocraft Labs had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 10:1 split on the 28th of May 2009. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kraig Biocraft to cross-verify your projections.Kraig Biocraft Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kraig Biocraft's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kraig Biocraft's future price movements. Getting to know how Kraig Biocraft's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kraig Biocraft may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GMGMF | Graphene Manufacturing Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.73 | 0.33 | 12.24 | (7.78) | 38.86 | |
| UNIKF | Unitika | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABSSF | AirBoss of America | 0.85 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.04 | (4.11) | 16.81 | |
| GLNLF | Galan Lithium Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.98 | 0.21 | 20.00 | (15.00) | 58.01 | |
| BLSTF | Blackstone Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 31.63 | (32.80) | 168.78 | |
| TTTNF | Titan Minerals Limited | (0.40) | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.24 | 8.33 | 0.00 | 20.69 | |
| BCEKF | Bear Creek Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.85 | 0.09 | 15.15 | (11.63) | 56.75 | |
| GPACF | Geopacific Resources Limited | (0.40) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 6.67 | 0.00 | 52.91 | |
| HHLKF | Hot Chili Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.34 | 0.20 | 11.27 | (7.69) | 26.24 | |
| WFSTF | Western Forest Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.11 | 5.20 | (3.47) | 11.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kraig Biocraft
For every potential investor in Kraig, whether a beginner or expert, Kraig Biocraft's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kraig OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kraig. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kraig Biocraft's price trends.Kraig Biocraft Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kraig Biocraft otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kraig Biocraft could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kraig Biocraft by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kraig Biocraft Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kraig Biocraft otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kraig Biocraft shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kraig Biocraft otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kraig Biocraft Labs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.89 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.08 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Kraig Biocraft Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kraig Biocraft's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kraig Biocraft's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraig otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.26 | |||
| Variance | 27.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kraig Biocraft
The number of cover stories for Kraig Biocraft depends on current market conditions and Kraig Biocraft's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kraig Biocraft is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kraig Biocraft's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kraig Biocraft Short Properties
Kraig Biocraft's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kraig Biocraft's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kraig Biocraft Labs often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kraig Biocraft's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kraig Biocraft's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 927.4 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 2.2 M | |
| Shares Float | 767.2 M |
Other Information on Investing in Kraig OTC Stock
Kraig Biocraft financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kraig OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kraig with respect to the benefits of owning Kraig Biocraft security.