Key Capital Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| KCPC Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Key Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Key Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Key Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Key Capital Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Key Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Key Capital's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Key Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Key Capital Corp from the perspective of Key Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Key Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Key Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Key Capital to cross-verify your projections. Key Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Key price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Key using various technical indicators. When you analyze Key charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Key Capital Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Key Capital Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Key Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Key Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Key Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
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Key Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Key Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Key Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Key Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Key Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Key Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Key Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Key Capital Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Key Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Key Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Key Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Key Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Key Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Key Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Key Capital's historical news coverage. Key Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Key Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Key Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Key Capital Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Key Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Key Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Key Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Key Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Key Capital Hype Timeline
Key Capital Corp is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Key is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Key Capital is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Key Capital Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:15 split on the 1st of June 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Key Capital to cross-verify your projections.Key Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Key Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Key Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Key Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Key Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BOPO | Biopower Operations Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| SGTB | Kuboo Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EPOR | EPIC Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NXTFF | Nextraction Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| SNCF | Sanarco Funds | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NFSE | nFinanSe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STRG | Starguide Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 52.00 | 0.00 | 1,098 | |
| CHWE | Chinawe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GASE | Gase Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,000.00 | |
| ATCC | Ameritrust Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Key Capital
For every potential investor in Key, whether a beginner or expert, Key Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Key Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Key. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Key Capital's price trends.Key Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Key Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Key Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Key Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Key Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Key Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Key Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Key Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Key Capital Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Key Capital
The number of cover stories for Key Capital depends on current market conditions and Key Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Key Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Key Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Key Capital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Asset Management space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Key Capital. If investors know Key will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Key Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Key Capital Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Key that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Key Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Key Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Key Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Key Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Key Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Key Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Key Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.