Kngt Clb Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| KCSIX Fund | USD 13.98 0.25 1.76% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kngt Clb Sml on the next trading day is expected to be 14.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.22. Kngt Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Kngt Clb's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the mutual fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kngt Clb hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kngt Clb Sml from the perspective of Kngt Clb response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kngt Clb Sml on the next trading day is expected to be 14.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.22. Kngt Clb after-hype prediction price | USD 21.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kngt |
Kngt Clb Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kngt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kngt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kngt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kngt Clb Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Kngt Clb Sml on the next trading day is expected to be 14.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kngt Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kngt Clb's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kngt Clb Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
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Kngt Clb Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kngt Clb's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kngt Clb's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.28 and 15.93, respectively. We have considered Kngt Clb's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kngt Clb mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kngt Clb mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.7402 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0684 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1562 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.215 |
Predictive Modules for Kngt Clb
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kngt Clb Sml. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kngt Clb After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kngt Clb at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kngt Clb or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Kngt Clb, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kngt Clb Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kngt Clb's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kngt Clb's historical news coverage. Kngt Clb's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.58 and 23.01, respectively. We have considered Kngt Clb's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kngt Clb is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kngt Clb Sml is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kngt Clb Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Kngt Clb is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kngt Clb backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kngt Clb, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 1.82 | 9.15 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.98 | 21.19 | 51.58 |
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Kngt Clb Hype Timeline
Kngt Clb Sml is now traded for 13.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 9.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Kngt is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.19126618705036 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 7.76%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 51.58%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.39%. The volatility of related hype on Kngt Clb is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.98. Debt can assist Kngt Clb until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kngt Clb's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kngt Clb Sml sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kngt to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kngt Clb's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kngt Clb to cross-verify your projections.Kngt Clb Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kngt Clb's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kngt Clb's future price movements. Getting to know how Kngt Clb's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kngt Clb may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SGDLX | Sprott Gold Equity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.89 | 0.17 | 3.79 | (3.75) | 8.64 | |
| QGLDX | The Gold Bullion | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.46 | 0.08 | 2.38 | (1.93) | 7.15 | |
| GLDAX | Gabelli Gold Fund | 0.00 | 1 per month | 1.76 | 0.23 | 4.63 | (3.42) | 9.78 | |
| XGGNX | Gamco Global Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | 0.16 | 1.93 | (1.17) | 3.42 | |
| OCMAX | Ocm Mutual Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.84 | 0.19 | 4.36 | (3.69) | 8.53 | |
| IIGCX | International Investors Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.13 | 0.17 | 4.45 | (4.11) | 10.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kngt Clb
For every potential investor in Kngt, whether a beginner or expert, Kngt Clb's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kngt Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kngt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kngt Clb's price trends.Kngt Clb Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kngt Clb mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kngt Clb could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kngt Clb by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kngt Clb Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kngt Clb mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kngt Clb shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kngt Clb mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Kngt Clb Sml entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.98 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.98 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.25) |
Kngt Clb Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kngt Clb's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kngt Clb's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kngt mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.99 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.496 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9746 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2461 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kngt Clb
The number of cover stories for Kngt Clb depends on current market conditions and Kngt Clb's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kngt Clb is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kngt Clb's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Kngt Mutual Fund
Kngt Clb financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kngt Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kngt with respect to the benefits of owning Kngt Clb security.
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