Kid Castle Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

KDCE Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kid Castle Educational on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Kid Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kid Castle stock prices and determine the direction of Kid Castle Educational's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kid Castle's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Kid Castle's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kid Castle's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kid Castle and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kid Castle's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kid Castle Educational, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Kid Castle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kid Castle Educational from the perspective of Kid Castle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kid Castle Educational on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Kid Castle after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kid Castle to cross-verify your projections.

Kid Castle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kid price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kid using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kid charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Kid Castle simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Kid Castle Educational are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Kid Castle Educational prices get older.

Kid Castle Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kid Castle Educational on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kid Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kid Castle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kid Castle Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Kid Castle Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kid Castle's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kid Castle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Kid Castle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kid Castle pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kid Castle pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Kid Castle Educational forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Kid Castle observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Kid Castle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kid Castle Educational. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kid Castle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Kid Castle After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kid Castle at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kid Castle or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kid Castle, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kid Castle Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kid Castle's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kid Castle's historical news coverage. Kid Castle's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Kid Castle's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Kid Castle is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kid Castle Educational is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kid Castle Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kid Castle is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kid Castle backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kid Castle, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Kid Castle Hype Timeline

Kid Castle Educational is now traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kid is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kid Castle is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 90.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.29. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kid Castle Educational had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 3rd of May 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kid Castle to cross-verify your projections.

Kid Castle Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kid Castle's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kid Castle's future price movements. Getting to know how Kid Castle's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kid Castle may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Kid Castle

For every potential investor in Kid, whether a beginner or expert, Kid Castle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kid Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kid. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kid Castle's price trends.

Kid Castle Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kid Castle pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kid Castle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kid Castle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kid Castle Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kid Castle pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kid Castle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kid Castle pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Kid Castle Educational entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Kid Castle

The number of cover stories for Kid Castle depends on current market conditions and Kid Castle's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kid Castle is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kid Castle's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Kid Pink Sheet

Kid Castle financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kid Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kid with respect to the benefits of owning Kid Castle security.