1812 Brewing Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

KEGS Stock  USD 0.0004  0.0001  33.33%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of 1812 Brewing on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000077 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. 1812 Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of 1812 Brewing's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of 1812 Brewing's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of 1812 Brewing and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from 1812 Brewing's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with 1812 Brewing, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using 1812 Brewing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 1812 Brewing from the perspective of 1812 Brewing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of 1812 Brewing on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000077 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

1812 Brewing after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.85E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1812 Brewing to cross-verify your projections.

1812 Brewing Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 1812 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 1812 using various technical indicators. When you analyze 1812 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through 1812 Brewing price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

1812 Brewing Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of 1812 Brewing on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0003 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000077, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 1812 Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 1812 Brewing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

1812 Brewing Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest 1812 Brewing1812 Brewing Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

1812 Brewing Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting 1812 Brewing's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 1812 Brewing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000004 and 16.24, respectively. We have considered 1812 Brewing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0004
0.000004
Downside
0.0003
Expected Value
16.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1812 Brewing pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1812 Brewing pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.5141
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1558
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0048
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as 1812 Brewing historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for 1812 Brewing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1812 Brewing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000416.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000316.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00040.00040.0004
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 1812 Brewing. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 1812 Brewing's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 1812 Brewing's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 1812 Brewing.

1812 Brewing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of 1812 Brewing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 1812 Brewing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of 1812 Brewing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

1812 Brewing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting 1812 Brewing's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 1812 Brewing's historical news coverage. 1812 Brewing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 16.68, respectively. We have considered 1812 Brewing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0004
0.0004
After-hype Price
16.68
Upside
1812 Brewing is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 1812 Brewing is based on 3 months time horizon.

1812 Brewing Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 1812 Brewing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 1812 Brewing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 1812 Brewing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
16.24
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0004
0.0004
28.33 
0.00  
Notes

1812 Brewing Hype Timeline

1812 Brewing is now traded for 0.0004. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. 1812 is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.85E-4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 28.33%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on 1812 Brewing is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. 1812 Brewing currently holds 15.64 M in liabilities. 1812 Brewing has a current ratio of 4.14, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist 1812 Brewing until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, 1812 Brewing's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like 1812 Brewing sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for 1812 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about 1812 Brewing's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1812 Brewing to cross-verify your projections.

1812 Brewing Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to 1812 Brewing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 1812 Brewing's future price movements. Getting to know how 1812 Brewing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 1812 Brewing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JAGRGreen Street Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CHAMChampion Investments 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CHAGChancellor Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FDTCFNDS3000 Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  50.00 
GVHIBGlobal Vision Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IGOTFomo Worldwide 0.00 0 per month 32.58  0.25  1,400 (93.33) 2,496 
WBBAWB Burgers Asia 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DSAQDirect Selling Acquisition 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SNGYSynrgy Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FRTGFrontera Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for 1812 Brewing

For every potential investor in 1812, whether a beginner or expert, 1812 Brewing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1812 Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1812. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1812 Brewing's price trends.

1812 Brewing Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 1812 Brewing pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 1812 Brewing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1812 Brewing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

1812 Brewing Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 1812 Brewing pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 1812 Brewing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 1812 Brewing pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify 1812 Brewing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

1812 Brewing Risk Indicators

The analysis of 1812 Brewing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 1812 Brewing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 1812 pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for 1812 Brewing

The number of cover stories for 1812 Brewing depends on current market conditions and 1812 Brewing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 1812 Brewing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 1812 Brewing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Tools for 1812 Pink Sheet Analysis

When running 1812 Brewing's price analysis, check to measure 1812 Brewing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1812 Brewing is operating at the current time. Most of 1812 Brewing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1812 Brewing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1812 Brewing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1812 Brewing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.