KEPPEL CORP Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

KEP1 Stock  EUR 4.65  0.04  0.85%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of KEPPEL P on the next trading day is expected to be 4.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.84. KEPPEL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for KEPPEL P is based on a synthetically constructed KEPPEL CORPdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

KEPPEL CORP 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of KEPPEL P on the next trading day is expected to be 4.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KEPPEL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KEPPEL CORP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KEPPEL CORP Stock Forecast Pattern

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KEPPEL CORP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KEPPEL CORP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KEPPEL CORP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.56 and 5.46, respectively. We have considered KEPPEL CORP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.65
4.51
Expected Value
5.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KEPPEL CORP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KEPPEL CORP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria77.0763
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0337
MADMean absolute deviation0.0938
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0206
SAESum of the absolute errors3.844
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. KEPPEL CORP 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for KEPPEL CORP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KEPPEL CORP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.704.655.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.415.366.31
Details

Other Forecasting Options for KEPPEL CORP

For every potential investor in KEPPEL, whether a beginner or expert, KEPPEL CORP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KEPPEL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KEPPEL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KEPPEL CORP's price trends.

KEPPEL CORP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KEPPEL CORP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KEPPEL CORP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KEPPEL CORP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KEPPEL CORP Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KEPPEL CORP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KEPPEL CORP's current price.

KEPPEL CORP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KEPPEL CORP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KEPPEL CORP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KEPPEL CORP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KEPPEL P entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KEPPEL CORP Risk Indicators

The analysis of KEPPEL CORP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KEPPEL CORP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keppel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for KEPPEL Stock Analysis

When running KEPPEL CORP's price analysis, check to measure KEPPEL CORP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KEPPEL CORP is operating at the current time. Most of KEPPEL CORP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KEPPEL CORP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KEPPEL CORP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KEPPEL CORP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.