Keweenaw Land Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

KEWL Stock  USD 37.52  0.48  1.26%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Keweenaw Land Association on the next trading day is expected to be 37.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.00. Keweenaw Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Keweenaw Land is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Keweenaw Land Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Keweenaw Land Association on the next trading day is expected to be 37.76 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.17, mean absolute percentage error of 2.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Keweenaw Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Keweenaw Land's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Keweenaw Land Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Keweenaw Land Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Keweenaw Land's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Keweenaw Land's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.58 and 41.94, respectively. We have considered Keweenaw Land's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.52
37.76
Expected Value
41.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Keweenaw Land pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Keweenaw Land pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3973
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0923
MADMean absolute deviation1.1694
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0331
SAESum of the absolute errors68.995
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Keweenaw Land Association price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Keweenaw Land. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Keweenaw Land

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Keweenaw Land Association. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Keweenaw Land's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.3437.5241.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.7730.9541.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.2337.6838.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Keweenaw Land

For every potential investor in Keweenaw, whether a beginner or expert, Keweenaw Land's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Keweenaw Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Keweenaw. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Keweenaw Land's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Keweenaw Land Association Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Keweenaw Land's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Keweenaw Land's current price.

Keweenaw Land Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Keweenaw Land pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Keweenaw Land shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Keweenaw Land pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Keweenaw Land Association entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Keweenaw Land Risk Indicators

The analysis of Keweenaw Land's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Keweenaw Land's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting keweenaw pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Keweenaw Pink Sheet

Keweenaw Land financial ratios help investors to determine whether Keweenaw Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Keweenaw with respect to the benefits of owning Keweenaw Land security.