Kfin Technologies Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

KFINTECH   1,115  58.45  4.98%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kfin Technologies Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1,192 with a mean absolute deviation of 80.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,334. Kfin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kfin Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of Kfin Technologies Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kfin Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Kfin Technologies' Retained Earnings are projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Non Currrent Assets Other is expected to grow to about 2.5 B, whereas Total Assets are forecasted to decline to about 10.1 B.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Kfin Technologies is based on an artificially constructed time series of Kfin Technologies daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Kfin Technologies 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kfin Technologies Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1,192 with a mean absolute deviation of 80.26, mean absolute percentage error of 9,950, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,334.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kfin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kfin Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kfin Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kfin Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kfin Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kfin Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,188 and 1,195, respectively. We have considered Kfin Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,115
1,192
Expected Value
1,195
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kfin Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kfin Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.4507
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -15.3603
MADMean absolute deviation80.2633
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0637
SAESum of the absolute errors4334.2188
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Kfin Technologies Limited 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Kfin Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kfin Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kfin Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0041,1571,160
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0061,0101,227
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
1,1481,1981,248
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.005.375.80
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kfin Technologies

For every potential investor in Kfin, whether a beginner or expert, Kfin Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kfin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kfin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kfin Technologies' price trends.

Kfin Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kfin Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kfin Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kfin Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kfin Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kfin Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kfin Technologies' current price.

Kfin Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kfin Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kfin Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kfin Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kfin Technologies Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kfin Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kfin Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kfin Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kfin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Kfin Stock

Kfin Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kfin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kfin with respect to the benefits of owning Kfin Technologies security.