Kolibri Global Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| KGEI Stock | 3.84 0.13 3.27% |
Kolibri Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kolibri Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, the value of relative strength index of Kolibri Global's share price is approaching 47. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kolibri Global, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.16 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.45 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.36 | Wall Street Target Price 7 |
Using Kolibri Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kolibri Global Energy from the perspective of Kolibri Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kolibri Global Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.77. Kolibri Global after-hype prediction price | USD 3.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kolibri Global to cross-verify your projections. Kolibri Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kolibri price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kolibri using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kolibri charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kolibri Global Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kolibri Global Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.77.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kolibri Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kolibri Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kolibri Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kolibri Global | Kolibri Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kolibri Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kolibri Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kolibri Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.11 and 6.24, respectively. We have considered Kolibri Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kolibri Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kolibri Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4455 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1275 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0333 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.7746 |
Predictive Modules for Kolibri Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kolibri Global Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kolibri Global's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kolibri Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kolibri Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kolibri Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kolibri Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kolibri Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kolibri Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kolibri Global's historical news coverage. Kolibri Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.27 and 6.41, respectively. We have considered Kolibri Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kolibri Global is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kolibri Global Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kolibri Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kolibri Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kolibri Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kolibri Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.56 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.84 | 3.84 | 0.00 |
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Kolibri Global Hype Timeline
Kolibri Global Energy is now traded for 3.84. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Kolibri is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kolibri Global is about 1011.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.79. About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.7. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kolibri Global Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.59. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:10 split on the 19th of May 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kolibri Global to cross-verify your projections.Kolibri Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kolibri Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kolibri Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Kolibri Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kolibri Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BP | BP PLC ADR | (0.19) | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.04 | 2.42 | (3.37) | 8.04 | |
| SHEL | Shell PLC ADR | (1.41) | 4 per month | 1.12 | (0.04) | 1.85 | (2.00) | 5.51 | |
| PBR | Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras | 0.32 | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.20 | 3.70 | (1.82) | 11.62 | |
| SU | Suncor Energy | 0.12 | 12 per month | 0.72 | 0.28 | 2.77 | (1.62) | 7.59 | |
| TTE | TotalEnergies SE ADR | (1.89) | 12 per month | 1.04 | 0.12 | 1.97 | (1.29) | 7.47 | |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil Corp | 0.59 | 7 per month | 0.96 | 0.15 | 2.38 | (1.51) | 5.82 | |
| EQNR | Equinor ASA ADR | 0.15 | 8 per month | 1.53 | 0.02 | 2.86 | (3.01) | 7.91 | |
| CVE | Cenovus Energy | 0.50 | 7 per month | 1.74 | 0.08 | 3.72 | (2.43) | 8.79 | |
| IMO | Imperial Oil | (0.85) | 10 per month | 1.62 | 0.09 | 2.96 | (2.64) | 8.01 | |
| PBR-A | Petrleo Brasileiro SA | 0.13 | 28 per month | 1.49 | 0.18 | 4.21 | (2.07) | 10.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kolibri Global
For every potential investor in Kolibri, whether a beginner or expert, Kolibri Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kolibri Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kolibri. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kolibri Global's price trends.Kolibri Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kolibri Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kolibri Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kolibri Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kolibri Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kolibri Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kolibri Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kolibri Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kolibri Global Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.84 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.13) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.87 |
Kolibri Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kolibri Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kolibri Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kolibri stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.56 | |||
| Variance | 6.55 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kolibri Global
The number of cover stories for Kolibri Global depends on current market conditions and Kolibri Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kolibri Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kolibri Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kolibri Global Short Properties
Kolibri Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kolibri Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kolibri Global Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kolibri Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kolibri Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kolibri Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Is there potential for Oil & Gas Exploration & Production market expansion? Will Kolibri introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kolibri Global. Expected growth trajectory for Kolibri significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Kolibri Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.29) | Earnings Share 0.49 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.168 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Kolibri Global Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Kolibri Global's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Kolibri Global's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kolibri Global's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kolibri Global represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Kolibri Global's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.