Kraft Heinz Stock Forward View
| KHC Stock | USD 23.87 0.13 0.55% |
Kraft Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Kraft Heinz stock prices and determine the direction of Kraft Heinz Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Kraft Heinz's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kraft Heinz's share price is at 51. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kraft Heinz, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.6898 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5263 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.4925 | Wall Street Target Price 26.5 |
Using Kraft Heinz hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kraft Heinz Co from the perspective of Kraft Heinz response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kraft Heinz using Kraft Heinz's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kraft using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kraft Heinz's stock price.
Kraft Heinz Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kraft Heinz's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kraft. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kraft Heinz stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 26.1376 | Short Percent 0.0743 | Short Ratio 4.59 | Shares Short Prior Month 61.8 M | 50 Day MA 24.2044 |
Kraft Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kraft Heinz Co on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.59.Kraft Heinz Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kraft Heinz's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kraft. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kraft can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kraft Heinz Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kraft Heinz's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kraft Heinz.
Kraft Heinz Implied Volatility | 0.45 |
Kraft Heinz's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kraft Heinz Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kraft Heinz's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kraft Heinz stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kraft Heinz's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kraft Heinz Co on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.59.
Kraft Heinz after-hype prediction price | USD 23.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kraft Heinz to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kraft contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kraft Heinz Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Kraft Heinz trading at USD 23.87, that is roughly USD 0.006713 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kraft Heinz's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kraft Heinz Co options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Kraft Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Kraft Heinz's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Kraft Heinz's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Kraft Heinz stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Kraft Heinz's open interest, investors have to compare it to Kraft Heinz's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Kraft Heinz is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Kraft. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Kraft Heinz Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kraft price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kraft using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kraft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kraft Heinz Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Kraft Heinz's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2001-03-31 | Previous Quarter 1.6 B | Current Value 2.1 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.2 B |
Kraft Heinz Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kraft Heinz Co on the next trading day is expected to be 24.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.59.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kraft Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kraft Heinz's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kraft Heinz Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kraft Heinz | Kraft Heinz Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Kraft Heinz Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kraft Heinz's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kraft Heinz's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.52 and 25.49, respectively. We have considered Kraft Heinz's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kraft Heinz stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kraft Heinz stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9907 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.272 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0113 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.5921 |
Predictive Modules for Kraft Heinz
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kraft Heinz. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kraft Heinz After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kraft Heinz at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kraft Heinz or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kraft Heinz, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kraft Heinz Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kraft Heinz's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kraft Heinz's historical news coverage. Kraft Heinz's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.02 and 25.00, respectively. We have considered Kraft Heinz's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kraft Heinz is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kraft Heinz is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kraft Heinz Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kraft Heinz is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kraft Heinz backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kraft Heinz, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.49 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.87 | 23.51 | 0.04 |
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Kraft Heinz Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February Kraft Heinz is traded for 23.87. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Kraft is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Kraft Heinz is about 405.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.88. The company reported the last year's revenue of 25.85 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.75 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 8.49 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kraft Heinz to cross-verify your projections.Kraft Heinz Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kraft Heinz's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kraft Heinz's future price movements. Getting to know how Kraft Heinz's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kraft Heinz may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JBS | JBS NV | 0.15 | 10 per month | 1.41 | 0.15 | 2.58 | (2.78) | 8.67 | |
| GIS | General Mills | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.98 | (2.51) | 6.34 | |
| ADM | Archer Daniels Midland | (0.08) | 10 per month | 1.77 | 0.07 | 2.94 | (3.26) | 7.68 | |
| KVUE | Kenvue Inc | (0.40) | 13 per month | 0.74 | 0.13 | 2.27 | (1.40) | 15.22 | |
| K | Kellanova | (0.49) | 17 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.54 | (0.48) | 5.34 | |
| MKC | McCormick Company Incorporated | 0.79 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.52 | (2.42) | 10.75 | |
| ABEV | Ambev SA ADR | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.26 | 3.04 | (1.71) | 10.33 | |
| SJM | The J M | 2.45 | 10 per month | 1.54 | (0.02) | 2.45 | (2.38) | 5.77 | |
| EL | Estee Lauder Companies | 0.95 | 10 per month | 1.54 | 0.12 | 3.89 | (2.95) | 8.23 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kraft Heinz
For every potential investor in Kraft, whether a beginner or expert, Kraft Heinz's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kraft Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kraft. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kraft Heinz's price trends.Kraft Heinz Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kraft Heinz stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kraft Heinz could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kraft Heinz by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kraft Heinz Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kraft Heinz stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kraft Heinz shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kraft Heinz stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kraft Heinz Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kraft Heinz Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kraft Heinz's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kraft Heinz's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kraft stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.13 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Variance | 2.4 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kraft Heinz
The number of cover stories for Kraft Heinz depends on current market conditions and Kraft Heinz's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kraft Heinz is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kraft Heinz's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kraft Heinz Short Properties
Kraft Heinz's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kraft Heinz's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kraft Heinz Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kraft Heinz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kraft Heinz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kraft Heinz to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Kraft diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kraft Heinz. Expected growth trajectory for Kraft significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Kraft Heinz data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share (3.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Kraft Heinz is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kraft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kraft Heinz's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kraft Heinz's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Kraft Heinz's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kraft Heinz's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Kraft Heinz's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kraft Heinz represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Kraft Heinz's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.