Kuehne Nagel Pink Sheet Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

KHNGY Stock  USD 47.12  0.05  0.11%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kuehne Nagel International on the next trading day is expected to be 47.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.06. Kuehne Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Kuehne Nagel works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Kuehne Nagel Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Kuehne Nagel International on the next trading day is expected to be 47.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kuehne Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kuehne Nagel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kuehne Nagel Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Kuehne Nagel Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kuehne Nagel's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kuehne Nagel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.75 and 48.27, respectively. We have considered Kuehne Nagel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
47.12
47.01
Expected Value
48.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kuehne Nagel pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kuehne Nagel pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.14
MADMean absolute deviation0.5264
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.01
SAESum of the absolute errors31.06
When Kuehne Nagel International prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Kuehne Nagel International trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Kuehne Nagel observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Kuehne Nagel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kuehne Nagel Interna. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.8547.1248.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.4150.6051.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
45.4748.7552.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kuehne Nagel. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kuehne Nagel's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kuehne Nagel's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kuehne Nagel Interna.

Other Forecasting Options for Kuehne Nagel

For every potential investor in Kuehne, whether a beginner or expert, Kuehne Nagel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kuehne Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kuehne. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kuehne Nagel's price trends.

Kuehne Nagel Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kuehne Nagel pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kuehne Nagel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kuehne Nagel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kuehne Nagel Interna Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kuehne Nagel's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kuehne Nagel's current price.

Kuehne Nagel Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kuehne Nagel pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kuehne Nagel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kuehne Nagel pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Kuehne Nagel International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kuehne Nagel Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kuehne Nagel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kuehne Nagel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kuehne pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Kuehne Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Kuehne Nagel's price analysis, check to measure Kuehne Nagel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kuehne Nagel is operating at the current time. Most of Kuehne Nagel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kuehne Nagel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kuehne Nagel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kuehne Nagel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.