Hoffmen Cleanindo Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

A naive forecasting model for Hoffmen Cleanindo is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Hoffmen Cleanindo value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Hoffmen Cleanindo Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Hoffmen Cleanindo on the next trading day is expected to be 166.69 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.42, mean absolute percentage error of 18.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 208.82.

Hoffmen Cleanindo Stock Forecast Pattern

Hoffmen Cleanindo Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Hoffmen Cleanindo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Hoffmen Cleanindo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Hoffmen Cleanindo. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Hoffmen Cleanindo. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Hoffmen Cleanindo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hoffmen Cleanindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Hoffmen Cleanindo

For every potential investor in Hoffmen, whether a beginner or expert, Hoffmen Cleanindo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Hoffmen Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Hoffmen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Hoffmen Cleanindo's price trends.

Hoffmen Cleanindo Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Hoffmen Cleanindo Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Hoffmen Cleanindo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Hoffmen Cleanindo's current price.

Hoffmen Cleanindo Market Strength Events

Hoffmen Cleanindo Risk Indicators