KIRK Old Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| KIRKDelisted Stock | USD 1.66 0.05 3.11% |
KIRK Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of KIRK Old's stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling KIRK, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using KIRK Old hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KIRK Old from the perspective of KIRK Old response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KIRK Old on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.90. KIRK Old after-hype prediction price | $ 1.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KIRK |
KIRK Old Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KIRK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KIRK using various technical indicators. When you analyze KIRK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KIRK Old Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of KIRK Old on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.90.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KIRK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KIRK Old's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KIRK Old Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KIRK Old | KIRK Old Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KIRK Old stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KIRK Old stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3559 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0639 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0501 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.8986 |
Predictive Modules for KIRK Old
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KIRK Old. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KIRK Old After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KIRK Old at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KIRK Old or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KIRK Old, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KIRK Old Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KIRK Old's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KIRK Old's historical news coverage. KIRK Old's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.66 and 1.66, respectively. We have considered KIRK Old's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KIRK Old is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KIRK Old is based on 3 months time horizon.
KIRK Old Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KIRK Old is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KIRK Old backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KIRK Old, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.66 | 1.66 | 0.00 |
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KIRK Old Hype Timeline
KIRK Old is now traded for 1.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. KIRK is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on KIRK Old is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.66. About 44.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.2. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KIRK Old has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.39. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.63. The firm last dividend was issued on the 3rd of June 2015. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.KIRK Old Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KIRK Old's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KIRK Old's future price movements. Getting to know how KIRK Old's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KIRK Old may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSUNF | SIGNA Sports United | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BGFV | Big 5 Sporting | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| DTC | DTC Old | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SEGG | Lottery | (0.22) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 21.43 | (16.76) | 89.71 | |
| HLBZ | Helbiz Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FAT | FAT Brands | (0.19) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 11.11 | (14.52) | 44.83 | |
| QVCGA | QVC Group | (0.24) | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 14.97 | (14.29) | 46.70 | |
| BFXXQ | BowFlex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YHGJ | Yunhong Green CTI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.45 | (9.18) | 44.51 | |
| CZOO | Cazoo Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
KIRK Old Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KIRK Old stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KIRK Old could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KIRK Old by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KIRK Old Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KIRK Old stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KIRK Old shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KIRK Old stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KIRK Old entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for KIRK Old
The number of cover stories for KIRK Old depends on current market conditions and KIRK Old's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KIRK Old is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KIRK Old's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KIRK Old Short Properties
KIRK Old's future price predictability will typically decrease when KIRK Old's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KIRK Old often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KIRK Old's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KIRK Old's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in KIRK Stock
If you are still planning to invest in KIRK Old check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the KIRK Old's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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