Kits Eyecare Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

KITS Stock  CAD 9.19  0.34  3.84%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kits Eyecare on the next trading day is expected to be 8.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.53. Kits Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Kits Eyecare's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Kits Eyecare's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Kits Eyecare fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Kits Eyecare's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of December 2024, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 24.63, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 4.61. . As of the 1st of December 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 26.5 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is likely to drop to about (4.3 M).
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Kits Eyecare is based on an artificially constructed time series of Kits Eyecare daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Kits Eyecare 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Kits Eyecare on the next trading day is expected to be 8.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.14, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.53.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kits Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kits Eyecare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kits Eyecare Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kits EyecareKits Eyecare Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Kits Eyecare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kits Eyecare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kits Eyecare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.47 and 11.43, respectively. We have considered Kits Eyecare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.19
8.95
Expected Value
11.43
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kits Eyecare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kits Eyecare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.4056
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0763
MADMean absolute deviation0.2931
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0305
SAESum of the absolute errors15.5338
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Kits Eyecare 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Kits Eyecare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kits Eyecare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.699.1711.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.6110.0912.57
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.010.010.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kits Eyecare

For every potential investor in Kits, whether a beginner or expert, Kits Eyecare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kits Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kits. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kits Eyecare's price trends.

Kits Eyecare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kits Eyecare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kits Eyecare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kits Eyecare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kits Eyecare Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kits Eyecare's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kits Eyecare's current price.

Kits Eyecare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kits Eyecare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kits Eyecare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kits Eyecare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kits Eyecare entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kits Eyecare Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kits Eyecare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kits Eyecare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kits stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Other Information on Investing in Kits Stock

Kits Eyecare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kits Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kits with respect to the benefits of owning Kits Eyecare security.