KLA Tencor Stock Forward View
| KLAC Stock | USD 1,428 256.77 15.24% |
KLA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast KLA Tencor stock prices and determine the direction of KLA Tencor's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of KLA Tencor's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of KLA Tencor's share price is at 52. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling KLA Tencor, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.409 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 8.9762 | EPS Estimate Current Year 36.4021 | EPS Estimate Next Year 45.5506 | Wall Street Target Price 1.6 K |
Using KLA Tencor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KLA Tencor from the perspective of KLA Tencor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards KLA Tencor using KLA Tencor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards KLA using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of KLA Tencor's stock price.
KLA Tencor Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in KLA Tencor's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards KLA. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of KLA Tencor stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 1 K | Short Percent 0.0258 | Short Ratio 3.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 1.3 K |
KLA Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KLA Tencor on the next trading day is expected to be 1,443 with a mean absolute deviation of 31.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,939.KLA Tencor Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to KLA Tencor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in KLA. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding KLA can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around KLA Tencor. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of KLA Tencor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about KLA Tencor.
KLA Tencor Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
KLA Tencor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of KLA Tencor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if KLA Tencor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that KLA Tencor stock will not fluctuate a lot when KLA Tencor's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of KLA Tencor on the next trading day is expected to be 1,443 with a mean absolute deviation of 31.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,939. KLA Tencor after-hype prediction price | USD 1427.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KLA Tencor to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current KLA contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that KLA Tencor will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With KLA Tencor trading at USD 1427.94, that is roughly USD 0.47 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating KLA Tencor's daily price movement you should consider acquiring KLA Tencor options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 KLA Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast KLA Tencor's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in KLA Tencor's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for KLA Tencor stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current KLA Tencor's open interest, investors have to compare it to KLA Tencor's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of KLA Tencor is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in KLA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
KLA Tencor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KLA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KLA using various technical indicators. When you analyze KLA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
KLA Tencor Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the KLA Tencor's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1986-06-30 | Previous Quarter 1.9 B | Current Value 2.5 B | Quarterly Volatility 700.3 M |
KLA Tencor Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of KLA Tencor on the next trading day is expected to be 1,443 with a mean absolute deviation of 31.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1,692, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,939.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KLA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KLA Tencor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
KLA Tencor Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest KLA Tencor | KLA Tencor Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
KLA Tencor Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting KLA Tencor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KLA Tencor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,439 and 1,446, respectively. We have considered KLA Tencor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KLA Tencor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KLA Tencor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.5442 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 31.7948 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1939.4855 |
Predictive Modules for KLA Tencor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KLA Tencor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.KLA Tencor After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KLA Tencor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KLA Tencor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KLA Tencor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KLA Tencor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KLA Tencor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KLA Tencor's historical news coverage. KLA Tencor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,425 and 1,431, respectively. We have considered KLA Tencor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KLA Tencor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KLA Tencor is based on 3 months time horizon.
KLA Tencor Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KLA Tencor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KLA Tencor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KLA Tencor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 3.36 | 17.20 | 0.44 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1,428 | 1,428 | 0.00 |
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KLA Tencor Hype Timeline
KLA Tencor is now traded for 1,428. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -17.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.44. KLA is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 6.84%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.35%. %. The volatility of related hype on KLA Tencor is about 267.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,428. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.7. KLA Tencor recorded earning per share (EPS) of 34.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of January 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KLA Tencor to cross-verify your projections.KLA Tencor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KLA Tencor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KLA Tencor's future price movements. Getting to know how KLA Tencor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KLA Tencor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TXN | Texas Instruments Incorporated | 3.26 | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.16 | 4.19 | (2.39) | 11.75 | |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | 3.40 | 10 per month | 2.28 | 0.18 | 5.00 | (4.04) | 10.80 | |
| LRCX | Lam Research Corp | 5.53 | 4 per month | 2.63 | 0.18 | 6.27 | (5.01) | 12.15 | |
| INTC | Intel | (1.79) | 7 per month | 3.97 | 0.07 | 10.19 | (5.72) | 28.75 | |
| QCOM | Qualcomm Incorporated | (0.67) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.56 | (3.93) | 8.77 | |
| ARM | Arm Holdings plc | (1.51) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 2.64 | (4.71) | 10.58 | |
| ACN | Accenture plc | (0.30) | 10 per month | 1.60 | 0.03 | 4.24 | (3.11) | 9.31 | |
| SONY | Sony Group Corp | (0.49) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 2.31 | (2.80) | 7.67 | |
| APH | Amphenol | 5.53 | 5 per month | 2.94 | 0.03 | 4.38 | (4.61) | 19.08 | |
| ADI | Analog Devices | (0.38) | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.19 | 3.44 | (2.35) | 7.99 |
Other Forecasting Options for KLA Tencor
For every potential investor in KLA, whether a beginner or expert, KLA Tencor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KLA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KLA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KLA Tencor's price trends.KLA Tencor Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KLA Tencor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KLA Tencor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KLA Tencor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
KLA Tencor Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KLA Tencor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KLA Tencor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KLA Tencor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify KLA Tencor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.11 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.53) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.85 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1500.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1476.59 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 168.16 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (201.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (256.77) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.77 |
KLA Tencor Risk Indicators
The analysis of KLA Tencor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KLA Tencor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kla stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.27 | |||
| Variance | 10.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 15.43 | |||
| Semi Variance | 12.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for KLA Tencor
The number of cover stories for KLA Tencor depends on current market conditions and KLA Tencor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KLA Tencor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KLA Tencor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KLA Tencor Short Properties
KLA Tencor's future price predictability will typically decrease when KLA Tencor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KLA Tencor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KLA Tencor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KLA Tencor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 133.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of KLA Tencor to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade KLA Stock refer to our How to Trade KLA Stock guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could KLA diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of KLA Tencor. Expected growth trajectory for KLA significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every KLA Tencor data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.409 | Dividend Share 7.4 | Earnings Share 34.41 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.072 |
The market value of KLA Tencor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of KLA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of KLA Tencor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is KLA Tencor's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because KLA Tencor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect KLA Tencor's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that KLA Tencor's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether KLA Tencor represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, KLA Tencor's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.