Klarna Group Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| KLAR Stock | 27.73 0.00 0.00% |
Klarna Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Klarna Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Klarna Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Klarna Group fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Klarna Group's share price is approaching 39. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Klarna Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.207 |
Using Klarna Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Klarna Group plc from the perspective of Klarna Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Klarna Group using Klarna Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Klarna using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Klarna Group's stock price.
Klarna Group Short Interest
An investor who is long Klarna Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Klarna Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge Klarna Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 39.646 | Short Percent 0.026 | Short Ratio 1.88 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.1 M | Shares Short 7.2 M |
Klarna Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Klarna Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 27.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.42.Klarna Group plc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Klarna Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Klarna. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Klarna can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Klarna Group plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Klarna Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Klarna Group.
Klarna Group Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
Klarna Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Klarna Group plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Klarna Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Klarna Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Klarna Group's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Klarna Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 27.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.42. Klarna Group after-hype prediction price | USD 27.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Klarna Group to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Klarna contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Klarna Group plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Klarna Group trading at USD 27.73, that is roughly USD 0.0125 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Klarna Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Klarna Group plc options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Klarna Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Klarna Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Klarna Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Klarna Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Klarna Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to Klarna Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Klarna Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Klarna. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Klarna Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Klarna price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Klarna using various technical indicators. When you analyze Klarna charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Klarna Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Klarna Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 27.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.92, mean absolute percentage error of 1.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 54.42.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Klarna Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Klarna Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Klarna Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Klarna Group | Klarna Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Klarna Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Klarna Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Klarna Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.46 and 30.99, respectively. We have considered Klarna Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Klarna Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Klarna Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7374 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2338 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9223 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0297 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 54.4175 |
Predictive Modules for Klarna Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Klarna Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Klarna Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Klarna Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Klarna Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Klarna Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Klarna Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Klarna Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Klarna Group's historical news coverage. Klarna Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.61 and 31.15, respectively. We have considered Klarna Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Klarna Group is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Klarna Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Klarna Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Klarna Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Klarna Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Klarna Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 3.27 | 0.15 | 0.36 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.73 | 27.88 | 0.54 |
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Klarna Group Hype Timeline
Klarna Group plc is now traded for 27.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.36. Klarna is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.54%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Klarna Group is about 439.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.37. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.67 B. Net Income was 33 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.16 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Klarna Group to cross-verify your projections.Klarna Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Klarna Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Klarna Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Klarna Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Klarna Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KSPI | Joint Stock | (0.36) | 7 per month | 1.38 | 0.01 | 3.31 | (2.51) | 8.44 | |
| RBRK | Rubrik | 1.37 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.72 | (5.52) | 29.26 | |
| FFIV | F5 Networks | (3.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.47 | (3.08) | 9.21 | |
| SAIL | SailPoint Common Stock | (1.62) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.80 | (5.23) | 12.06 | |
| OKTA | Okta Inc | (1.84) | 11 per month | 1.71 | (0.01) | 3.85 | (2.69) | 8.73 | |
| GEN | Gen Digital | 0.63 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.26 | (1.83) | 7.70 | |
| ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | (4.13) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.01 | (4.13) | 15.40 | |
| DOCU | DocuSign | 0.55 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.08 | (4.99) | 12.28 | |
| ENTG | Entegris | 0.08 | 9 per month | 2.95 | 0.09 | 6.73 | (4.46) | 11.66 | |
| AKAM | Akamai Technologies | 0.91 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.12 | 4.01 | (3.43) | 18.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Klarna Group
For every potential investor in Klarna, whether a beginner or expert, Klarna Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Klarna Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Klarna. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Klarna Group's price trends.Klarna Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Klarna Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Klarna Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Klarna Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Klarna Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Klarna Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Klarna Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Klarna Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Klarna Group plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0423 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 28.21 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 28.05 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.22 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.48) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.94 |
Klarna Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Klarna Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Klarna Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting klarna stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.32 | |||
| Variance | 11.0 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Klarna Group
The number of cover stories for Klarna Group depends on current market conditions and Klarna Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Klarna Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Klarna Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Klarna Group Short Properties
Klarna Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Klarna Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Klarna Group plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Klarna Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Klarna Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 364.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Additional Tools for Klarna Stock Analysis
When running Klarna Group's price analysis, check to measure Klarna Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Klarna Group is operating at the current time. Most of Klarna Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Klarna Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Klarna Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Klarna Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.