Killbuck Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

Killbuck Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Killbuck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Killbuck using various technical indicators. When you analyze Killbuck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Killbuck Bancshares simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Killbuck Bancshares are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Killbuck Bancshares prices get older.

Killbuck Bancshares Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Killbuck Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 151.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.35, mean absolute percentage error of 6.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 81.04.

Killbuck Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Killbuck Bancshares Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Killbuck Bancshares pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Killbuck Bancshares pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Killbuck Bancshares forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Killbuck Bancshares observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Killbuck Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Killbuck Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 149.40 151.27 153.14 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 147.89 149.76 151.63 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 144.26 151.01 157.77 Details

Killbuck Bancshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Killbuck Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Killbuck Bancshares Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Killbuck Bancshares Hype Timeline

Killbuck Bancshares is now traded for 151.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Killbuck is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Killbuck Bancshares is about 94500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 151.27. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.44. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Killbuck Bancshares recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of November 2022. The firm had 5:1 split on the 4th of May 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Killbuck Bancshares to cross-verify your projections.

Killbuck Bancshares Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Killbuck Bancshares

For every potential investor in Killbuck, whether a beginner or expert, Killbuck Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Killbuck Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Killbuck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Killbuck Bancshares' price trends.

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