Knowles Cor Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing

KN Stock  USD 27.00  0.09  0.33%   
Knowles Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Knowles Cor's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Knowles Cor's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Knowles Cor, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Knowles Cor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Knowles Cor from the perspective of Knowles Cor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Knowles Cor on the next trading day is expected to be 27.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.81.

Knowles Cor after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knowles Cor to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Knowles Stock, please use our How to Invest in Knowles Cor guide.

Knowles Cor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Knowles price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Knowles using various technical indicators. When you analyze Knowles charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Knowles Cor - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Knowles Cor prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Knowles Cor price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Knowles Cor.

Knowles Cor Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Knowles Cor on the next trading day is expected to be 27.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Knowles Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Knowles Cor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Knowles Cor Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Knowles Cor  Knowles Cor Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Knowles Cor Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Knowles Cor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Knowles Cor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.95 and 29.39, respectively. We have considered Knowles Cor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.00
27.17
Expected Value
29.39
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Knowles Cor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Knowles Cor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1015
MADMean absolute deviation0.3866
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors22.8102
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Knowles Cor observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Knowles Cor observations.

Predictive Modules for Knowles Cor

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knowles Cor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7627.0029.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.4130.2532.49
Details

Knowles Cor After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Knowles Cor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Knowles Cor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Knowles Cor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Knowles Cor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Knowles Cor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Knowles Cor's historical news coverage. Knowles Cor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.76 and 29.24, respectively. We have considered Knowles Cor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
27.00
27.00
After-hype Price
29.24
Upside
Knowles Cor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Knowles Cor is based on 3 months time horizon.

Knowles Cor Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Knowles Cor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Knowles Cor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Knowles Cor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.37 
2.22
 0.00  
  0.27 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
27.00
27.00
0.44 
0.00  
Notes

Knowles Cor Hype Timeline

As of February 11, 2026 Knowles Cor is listed for 27.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.27. Knowles is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 27.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Knowles Cor is about 308.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.27. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Knowles Cor was now reported as 9.14. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.12. Knowles Cor had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knowles Cor to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Knowles Stock, please use our How to Invest in Knowles Cor guide.

Knowles Cor Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Knowles Cor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Knowles Cor's future price movements. Getting to know how Knowles Cor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Knowles Cor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Knowles Cor

For every potential investor in Knowles, whether a beginner or expert, Knowles Cor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Knowles Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Knowles. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Knowles Cor's price trends.

Knowles Cor Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Knowles Cor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Knowles Cor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Knowles Cor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Knowles Cor Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Knowles Cor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Knowles Cor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Knowles Cor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Knowles Cor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Knowles Cor Risk Indicators

The analysis of Knowles Cor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Knowles Cor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting knowles stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Knowles Cor

The number of cover stories for Knowles Cor depends on current market conditions and Knowles Cor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Knowles Cor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Knowles Cor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Knowles Cor Short Properties

Knowles Cor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Knowles Cor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Knowles Cor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Knowles Cor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Knowles Cor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding87.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments54.2 M
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Knowles Cor to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Knowles Stock, please use our How to Invest in Knowles Cor guide.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Will Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components sector continue expanding? Could Knowles diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Knowles Cor. Expected growth trajectory for Knowles significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Knowles Cor data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Knowles Cor requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Knowles's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Knowles Cor's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Knowles Cor's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Knowles Cor's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Knowles Cor represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Knowles Cor's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.