Knorr Bremse Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

KNBHF Stock  USD 100.26  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Knorr Bremse Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 100.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.96. Knorr Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Knorr Bremse's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Knorr Bremse is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Knorr Bremse Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Knorr Bremse Aktiengesellschaft on the next trading day is expected to be 100.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 1.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Knorr Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Knorr Bremse's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Knorr Bremse Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Knorr Bremse Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Knorr Bremse's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Knorr Bremse's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 99.08 and 101.44, respectively. We have considered Knorr Bremse's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
100.26
100.26
Expected Value
101.44
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Knorr Bremse pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Knorr Bremse pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8902
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1599
MADMean absolute deviation0.4909
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors28.965
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Knorr Bremse Aktiengesellschaft price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Knorr Bremse. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Knorr Bremse

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Knorr Bremse Aktieng. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
99.08100.26101.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.0277.20110.29
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
90.0795.84101.61
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Knorr Bremse. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Knorr Bremse's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Knorr Bremse's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Knorr Bremse Aktieng.

Other Forecasting Options for Knorr Bremse

For every potential investor in Knorr, whether a beginner or expert, Knorr Bremse's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Knorr Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Knorr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Knorr Bremse's price trends.

Knorr Bremse Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Knorr Bremse pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Knorr Bremse could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Knorr Bremse by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Knorr Bremse Aktieng Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Knorr Bremse's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Knorr Bremse's current price.

Knorr Bremse Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Knorr Bremse pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Knorr Bremse shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Knorr Bremse pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Knorr Bremse Aktiengesellschaft entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Knorr Bremse Risk Indicators

The analysis of Knorr Bremse's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Knorr Bremse's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting knorr pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Knorr Pink Sheet

Knorr Bremse financial ratios help investors to determine whether Knorr Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Knorr with respect to the benefits of owning Knorr Bremse security.