K9 Gold Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KNC Stock  CAD 0.42  0.01  2.44%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of K9 Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.00. KNC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of K9 Gold's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of K9 Gold's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of K9 Gold and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from K9 Gold's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with K9 Gold Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting K9 Gold's stock price prediction:
Wall Street Target Price
0.65
Using K9 Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of K9 Gold Corp from the perspective of K9 Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of K9 Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.00.

K9 Gold after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 0.42  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of K9 Gold to cross-verify your projections.
Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 0.000077 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 11.4 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to climb to about (2.2 M) in 2026.

K9 Gold Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine KNC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KNC using various technical indicators. When you analyze KNC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for K9 Gold is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of K9 Gold Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

K9 Gold Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of K9 Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KNC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that K9 Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

K9 Gold Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest K9 GoldK9 Gold Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

K9 Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting K9 Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. K9 Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 11.65, respectively. We have considered K9 Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.42
0.55
Expected Value
11.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of K9 Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent K9 Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.8817
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0492
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1222
SAESum of the absolute errors2.9987
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of K9 Gold Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict K9 Gold. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for K9 Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as K9 Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.4211.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3811.48
Details

Other Forecasting Options for K9 Gold

For every potential investor in KNC, whether a beginner or expert, K9 Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KNC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KNC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying K9 Gold's price trends.

K9 Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with K9 Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of K9 Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing K9 Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

K9 Gold Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of K9 Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of K9 Gold's current price.

K9 Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how K9 Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading K9 Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying K9 Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify K9 Gold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

K9 Gold Risk Indicators

The analysis of K9 Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in K9 Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting knc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for KNC Stock Analysis

When running K9 Gold's price analysis, check to measure K9 Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy K9 Gold is operating at the current time. Most of K9 Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of K9 Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move K9 Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of K9 Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.