KWS SAAT Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

KNKZF Stock  USD 79.63  4.83  6.46%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of KWS SAAT SE on the next trading day is expected to be 79.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.39. KWS Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of KWS SAAT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for KWS SAAT is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

KWS SAAT Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of KWS SAAT SE on the next trading day is expected to be 79.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict KWS Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that KWS SAAT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

KWS SAAT Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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KWS SAAT Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting KWS SAAT's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. KWS SAAT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 78.72 and 80.54, respectively. We have considered KWS SAAT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
79.63
79.63
Expected Value
80.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of KWS SAAT pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent KWS SAAT pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.7366
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1575
MADMean absolute deviation0.2065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0027
SAESum of the absolute errors12.39
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of KWS SAAT SE price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of KWS SAAT. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for KWS SAAT

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KWS SAAT SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.7279.6380.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.1578.0587.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
71.8273.8075.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KWS SAAT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KWS SAAT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KWS SAAT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KWS SAAT SE.

Other Forecasting Options for KWS SAAT

For every potential investor in KWS, whether a beginner or expert, KWS SAAT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. KWS Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in KWS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying KWS SAAT's price trends.

KWS SAAT Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with KWS SAAT pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of KWS SAAT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing KWS SAAT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

KWS SAAT SE Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of KWS SAAT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of KWS SAAT's current price.

KWS SAAT Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how KWS SAAT pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading KWS SAAT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying KWS SAAT pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify KWS SAAT SE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

KWS SAAT Risk Indicators

The analysis of KWS SAAT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in KWS SAAT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kws pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in KWS Pink Sheet

KWS SAAT financial ratios help investors to determine whether KWS Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in KWS with respect to the benefits of owning KWS SAAT security.