Kainos Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| KNNNF Stock | USD 14.65 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kainos Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 16.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.62. Kainos Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kainos Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Kainos Group's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kainos Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kainos Group plc from the perspective of Kainos Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Kainos Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 16.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.62. Kainos Group after-hype prediction price | USD 14.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kainos |
Kainos Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kainos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kainos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kainos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Kainos Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Kainos Group plc on the next trading day is expected to be 16.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.08, mean absolute percentage error of 1.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kainos Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kainos Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Kainos Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Kainos Group | Kainos Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Kainos Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Kainos Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kainos Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.09 and 23.09, respectively. We have considered Kainos Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kainos Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kainos Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6144 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0757 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0928 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 65.6164 |
Predictive Modules for Kainos Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kainos Group plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kainos Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kainos Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kainos Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kainos Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kainos Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kainos Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kainos Group's historical news coverage. Kainos Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.71 and 21.59, respectively. We have considered Kainos Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kainos Group is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kainos Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kainos Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kainos Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kainos Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kainos Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.93 | 7.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.65 | 14.65 | 0.00 |
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Kainos Group Hype Timeline
Kainos Group plc is now traded for 14.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Kainos is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.93%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kainos Group is about 70000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.66. About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kainos Group to cross-verify your projections.Kainos Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kainos Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kainos Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Kainos Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kainos Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TMVWY | TeamViewer AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 3.30 | (4.88) | 26.34 | |
| IPEU | IPE Universal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 158.33 | |
| BVSFF | Bravura Solutions Limited | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ABXXF | Abaxx Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.23 | 0.11 | 8.19 | (5.22) | 29.32 | |
| AEXAF | Atos SE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.80 | |
| SFDMY | Shanghai Fudan Microelectronics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FREKF | freee KK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.83 | (11.37) | 40.09 | |
| JNPKF | Jenoptik AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 4.45 | 0.00 | 20.42 | |
| EGHSF | Enghouse Systems Limited | 0.05 | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.62 | (3.03) | 6.96 | |
| SWDHY | Skyworth Digital Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Kainos Group
For every potential investor in Kainos, whether a beginner or expert, Kainos Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kainos Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kainos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kainos Group's price trends.Kainos Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kainos Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kainos Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kainos Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Kainos Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kainos Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kainos Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kainos Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Kainos Group plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Kainos Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Kainos Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kainos Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kainos pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.67 | |||
| Variance | 44.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Kainos Group
The number of cover stories for Kainos Group depends on current market conditions and Kainos Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kainos Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kainos Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Kainos Pink Sheet
Kainos Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kainos Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kainos with respect to the benefits of owning Kainos Group security.