Kontrol Technologies OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

KNRLF Stock  USD 0.14  0.01  7.69%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kontrol Technologies Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67. Kontrol OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Kontrol Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Kontrol Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kontrol Technologies Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kontrol Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kontrol Technologies Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kontrol OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kontrol Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kontrol Technologies OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

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Kontrol Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kontrol Technologies' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kontrol Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.17, respectively. We have considered Kontrol Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.14
0.11
Expected Value
8.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kontrol Technologies otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kontrol Technologies otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria109.631
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.011
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.074
SAESum of the absolute errors0.6737
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kontrol Technologies Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kontrol Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kontrol Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kontrol Technologies Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.148.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.138.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Kontrol Technologies

For every potential investor in Kontrol, whether a beginner or expert, Kontrol Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kontrol OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kontrol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kontrol Technologies' price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kontrol Technologies Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Kontrol Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Kontrol Technologies' current price.

Kontrol Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kontrol Technologies otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kontrol Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kontrol Technologies otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kontrol Technologies Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kontrol Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kontrol Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kontrol Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kontrol otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Kontrol OTC Stock

Kontrol Technologies financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kontrol OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kontrol with respect to the benefits of owning Kontrol Technologies security.